AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-15 14:00 UTC 35 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

109.147

Target

108.726 +0.39 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.133 −1.82 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 947 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 947 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.38 % 38 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 7 % (1.06) ▼ Bearish 93 % (13.64)

model score 92.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	3.16
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.67
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.40
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish indicators align on the 1H chart, signaling strong selling pressure.
The trend is consistently bearish from 15m to 2H, reinforcing the short-term downside bias.
Watch the 111.133 resistance level; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
Higher timeframes are choppy, so expect potential consolidation or limited downside.

The 1H AUD/JPY chart has fired a cluster of bearish technical signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, and ALMA Retreat Down, alongside a BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up. This confluence indicates that selling pressure is intensifying and that price is likely to continue lower in the near term. The signal strength is very strong, with a 92% probability, suggesting a high degree of alignment among the indicators.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from the 15-minute up to the 2-hour chart, with the 30-minute and 1-hour showing very strong trends. However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are choppy and sideways, which could limit the downside potential or lead to consolidation. The nearest resistance is at 111.133, which may act as a ceiling for any bounce. With no clear support level defined, the immediate downside target is uncertain, but the bearish momentum suggests that any pullback toward resistance could be an opportunity to join the downtrend.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of five bearish signals on the 1H chart.
▼ Very strong trend scores on 30m and 1H timeframes.
▼ Bearish alignment across multiple intraday timeframes.
▼ High signal probability (92%) and very strong strength.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are choppy, which could lead to range-bound price action.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 111.133 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ The lack of a defined support level makes downside targets unclear.
▲ Momentum may fade if price fails to make new lows, leading to a bounce.