AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-15 14:30 UTC 35 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

109.147

Target

108.941 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.133 −1.82 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +4% Scalping

▲ Bullish 4 % (1.27) ▼ Bearish 96 % (34.36)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	3.18
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.44
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.44
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.40
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.76
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.67
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.27
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.86

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30-minute chart points to continued downside pressure.
Trend is bearish across the intraday timeframes (15m-2h), but higher timeframes are choppy, so the move may lack strong follow-through.
Watch the 111.13300 resistance level; a break above it would invalidate the bearish signal.
Momentum indicators (STOCHRSI, WILLR) confirm the bearish push, but the lack of a defined support level means downside targets are unclear.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing in the same direction. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates that buying pressure has been overtaken by selling pressure, while the STOCHRSI KD Cross Down confirms bearish momentum is accelerating. The WILLR entry into oversold territory, combined with multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MAMA PRICE), suggests that price is pulling back from recent highs and that the path of least resistance is lower. The confluence of these indicators across the indicator and candlestick groups adds weight to the signal.

Trend alignment across timeframes is strongly supportive of the bearish bias. The 15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour timeframes all show solid to very strong bearish trends, with the 30-minute and 1-hour at 4/5. However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are choppy and sideways, which tempers the conviction slightly and suggests the move may be part of a larger consolidation. The nearest resistance sits at 111.13300, which is a key level to watch for any bounce; a break above that would invalidate the bearish setup. Since there is no defined nearest support, traders should be cautious about chasing the move and instead focus on the resistance level as the primary invalidation point.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MAMA PRICE) confirm the bearish pullback.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down align to show selling pressure is dominant.
▼ Trend scores are solidly bearish across the 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes, supporting the signal.
▼ The WILLR oversold entry adds to the bearish confluence, though it also hints at possible short-term exhaustion.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are choppy and sideways, which could limit the depth of the move.
▲ The WILLR is already in oversold territory, suggesting the immediate downside may be limited and a bounce could occur.
▲ The nearest support is not defined, so there is no clear target, increasing the risk of a shallow pullback.
▲ A break above 111.13300 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.