AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-15 02:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.25 %

Entry

0.69755

Target

0.70132 +0.54 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69507 −0.36 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,683 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,683 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.24 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 8 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), STOCH KD Cross Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.7 % ↓ −19.6 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 91 % (25.70) ▼ Bearish 9 % (2.66)

model score 30.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 17.1 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 11.3 % (forex, 311 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.21
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.65
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.61
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.57
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.36
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.11
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.09
▲	Tweezers Bottom	candlestick	0.97

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful 30-minute bullish signal cluster is firing, but it is counter to the dominant higher-timeframe downtrend.
Watch the 0.70132 resistance: a break could extend the bounce, while rejection would confirm the bearish bias.
Support at 0.69507 is the immediate invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish setup.
The signal is best suited for short-term trading, not long-term positioning, given the bearish daily trend.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish momentum signals, including BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up, and BIAS Zero Cross Up, along with additional signals from fibonacci, indicator, and candlestick groups. This confluence suggests a short-term bounce or reversal attempt within a broader bearish context. The 15-minute timeframe is already showing bullish but choppy action, while higher timeframes (1h, 12h, 1d) remain in solid downtrends, indicating that this 30-minute signal is likely a counter-trend move rather than a full trend reversal.

Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 0.70132 and support at 0.69507. A break above resistance could signal a stronger corrective rally, but the higher-timeframe bearish bias suggests that any upside may be limited. The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability reflect the high number of aligned indicators, yet traders should treat this as a tactical scalp or short-term long opportunity, not a trend-following signal. The risk of failure is elevated if the 15-minute choppiness persists or if the 1-hour downtrend reasserts itself.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCH) all crossing above their midlines simultaneously, indicating strong buying pressure.
▲ Three separate moving-average retreat signals (DEMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) confirm price pulling back to dynamic support and bouncing.
▲ The 15-minute timeframe is already bullish, providing a shorter-term alignment with the 30-minute signal.
▲ The signal strength is rated 'very strong' with a 100% probability, reflecting a high degree of indicator confluence.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes are all in solid downtrends, which could overwhelm the 30-minute bullish move.
▼ The 15-minute trend is only 1/5 strength and choppy, suggesting the bullish momentum may lack conviction.
▼ If price fails to break above 0.70132, the bounce could stall and reverse, leading to a retest of support.
▼ A close below 0.69507 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely accelerate the broader downtrend.