AVA/XUSDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-15 11:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.23 %

Entry

9.5510

Target

9.3370 +2.24 %

closes in profit

Stop

10.0660 −5.39 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,175 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 9,175 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, ROCR Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

37.9 % ↓ −0.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 29 % (4.53) ▼ Bearish 71 % (10.96)

model score 9.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 11:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▲	TEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.56
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.27

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) have all crossed below zero, confirming bearish momentum.
The TEMA Retreat Up and SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down suggest a continuation of the downtrend after a brief pullback.
The Northern Doji adds caution, but the overall bearish trend across multiple timeframes supports the short bias.
Watch the 9.33700 support as the primary downside target; a break above 10.06600 would invalidate the signal.

The AVA/XUSDT 30-minute chart has triggered a SELL signal with a 70% probability and moderate strength, driven by a confluence of momentum and volatility indicators. The MOM, ROC, and ROCR all crossed below their zero lines, indicating a loss of upward momentum and a shift toward bearish price action. The TEMA Retreat Up suggests a short-term pullback within a broader downtrend, while the SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down and QSTICK Zero Cross Down point to weakening buying pressure and a potential expansion of downside volatility. The Northern Doji candlestick pattern adds a note of indecision at current levels, but the overall bearish alignment supports the short bias.

Trend alignment across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with solid trends on the 15m, 30m, 1h, and 4h charts, and trend-forming bearish structures on the 2h, 8h, and 12h. Only the daily timeframe shows a bullish trend, but it is only trend-forming, suggesting that the longer-term uptrend is not yet strong enough to override the immediate bearish pressure. The nearest resistance at 10.06600 is the first upside barrier, while support at 9.33700 is the key downside target. A break below this support would confirm the bearish momentum, whereas a move above the resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Bearish trend alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 4h timeframes (solid trends).
▼ Confluence of multiple momentum oscillators crossing below zero.
▼ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down indicates potential for increased downside volatility.
▼ The daily trend is only bullish trend-forming, not yet strong enough to counter the bearish pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ The daily timeframe is still bullish, which could lead to a reversal if the longer-term uptrend resumes.
▲ The Northern Doji signals indecision, and a bounce from current levels could stall the bearish move.
▲ The STOCHF KD Cross Up indicates short-term oversold conditions, which may trigger a temporary bounce.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 10.06600, the bearish signal would be invalidated.