AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %
Entry
0.69189
Target
0.69804 +0.89 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.68941 −0.36 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, CTI OB Exit, COPPOCK Zero Cross Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +5.3 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +26% Scalping
▲ Bullish 97 % (37.16) ▼ Bearish 3 % (1.32)
model score 96.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.0 % vs 18.1 % on average · stopped out 16.7 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 330 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 97%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.79
▲ CTI OB Exit indicator 2.17
▲ COPPOCK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.77
▲ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.76
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.73
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.65
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.64
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.61
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.60
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 1.58
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.57
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.55
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 1.40
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.39
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.35
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.29

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A bullish signal on the 30-minute chart, but the higher timeframes (1h to daily) are all bearish, so this is a counter-trend long.
  • The signal is supported by a trendline break, BOP zero cross, and multiple moving-average retreats, indicating strong short-term momentum.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.69804 and support at 0.68941; a break below support invalidates the bullish case.
  • The 15-minute chart is bullish but choppy, adding uncertainty to the immediate direction.
The AUD/USD signal on the 30-minute chart is a BUY, driven by a confluence of technical events: a break above a descending trendline, a bullish zero cross on the Balance of Power (BOP) indicator, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) suggesting upward momentum. Additionally, the Stochastic Fast (STOCHF) KD lines have crossed up, and the Williams %R (WILLR) has entered the overbought zone, which in this context indicates strong bullish momentum rather than an immediate reversal. This cluster of signals points to a short-term bullish impulse within the 30-minute timeframe.

However, the higher timeframe trend is overwhelmingly bearish, with solid trend scores on the 1h, 2h, 8h, 12h, and daily charts, while the 4h and 8h show trend formation. The immediate 15-minute chart is bullish but choppy, with a weak trend score (1/5). This creates a conflict: the bullish signal is a counter-trend move against the broader downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.69804 is a key level to watch, as a failure to break above it could see the price resume its bearish path. The nearest support at 0.68941 is the invalidation level for the bullish scenario; a break below would negate the signal. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a larger bearish context, with tight risk management.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple technical signals align on the 30-minute chart, including a trendline break and BOP zero cross, indicating a strong bullish impulse.
  • ▲ Moving-average retreats (DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) suggest that price is pulling back to dynamic support within the short-term uptrend.
  • ▲ The STOCHF and WILLR indicators confirm bullish momentum, with the WILLR in overbought territory often seen as a sign of strength in a strong trend.
  • ▲ The nearest resistance at 0.69804 is not far above, providing a clear target for a short-term move.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The higher timeframe trend is bearish across most timeframes, so this long is against the dominant trend and could be a mere retracement.
  • ▼ The 15-minute chart is choppy with a weak trend score (1/5), indicating that the bullish momentum may not be reliable.
  • ▼ If the price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 0.69804, the bullish signal could fade and the downtrend could resume.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.68941 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger a sharp decline.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-15 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.69804 2026-10-15
R2 0.70132 2026-10-14
S1 0.68941 2026-10-15

Tags

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