AVA/XUSDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-16 10:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.48 %

Entry

10.422

Target

10.609 +1.79 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.928 −4.74 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,356 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 9,356 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 40 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: T3 Break Up, ALMA Break Up, MACD Hist Hidden Bull Div +4 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

57.9 % ↑ +8.3 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 73 % (7.16) ▼ Bearish 27 % (2.71)

model score 72.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 10:32 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	T3 Break Up	indicator	3.16
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	3.09
▲	MACD Hist Hidden Bull Div	divergence	2.57
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.39
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.17
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.01
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	1.06
▼	Advance Block	candlestick	0.96

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, with 84% probability and strong strength.
Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bullish, but higher timeframes (4h and above) remain bearish.
Key resistance at 10.42700 and support at 9.92800 define the immediate trading range.
Watch for a break above resistance to confirm bullish momentum, or a drop below support to invalidate the signal.

The 30-minute AVA/USDT chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a STOCHF KD Cross Up, a T3 Break Up, and an ALMA Break Up, alongside retreat-up signals on DEMA, MAMA PRICE, and MIDPOINT. The Advance Block candlestick pattern adds a note of caution, but the overall signal mix is strongly bullish with an 84% probability and strong strength. The short-term trend is aligned: 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes both show solid bullish trends, and the 1-hour is forming a bullish trend. However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D) are bearish, creating a potential conflict that could limit upside.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 10.42700 and support at 9.92800. A break above resistance could confirm the bullish momentum and potentially attract buyers, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish thesis. The divergence signal group adds a layer of confluence, but the bearish higher timeframes warrant caution. Traders should monitor whether the price can sustain above the 30-minute support and push through resistance, as a failure to do so could lead to a reversal back into the larger downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicators firing together (STOCHF, T3, ALMA, DEMA, MAMA) on the 30-minute chart.
▲ Upward retreat signals on DEMA, MAMA PRICE, and MIDPOINT suggest underlying momentum is strengthening.
▲ Short-term trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes supports the bullish case.
▲ Divergence signal group adds confluence, suggesting potential for a trend reversal to the upside.

Risk Factors

▼ Bearish trends on 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes could cap upside or trigger a reversal.
▼ The Advance Block candlestick pattern is a bearish reversal signal, which may indicate fading momentum.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 9.92800 would invalidate the bullish signal.
▼ Resistance at 10.42700 is a nearby opposing level that could stall the advance.