EUR/AUD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-16 17:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.09 %

Entry

1.61542

Target

1.59547 +1.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.62660 −0.69 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 992 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 992 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.38 % 38 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +17 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.7 % ↓ −19.6 vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 15 % (5.49) ▼ Bearish 85 % (32.35)

model score 28.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.6 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.1 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 476 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.36
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.04
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.83
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.27
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.21
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.19
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.10
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.85

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on the 1H chart, with multiple indicators crossing below zero.
Higher timeframes (2H-12H) remain bullish, creating a conflict with the 1H signal.
Key resistance at 1.62660 and support at 1.59547 define the immediate trading range.
Watch for a break of support to confirm the bearish move, or a bounce to signal a resumption of the uptrend.

The EUR/AUD 1H chart is flashing a strongly bearish signal, with a broad cluster of momentum and oscillator indicators crossing below their zero lines and midlines. This includes the Balance of Power, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI, and STOCH, all firing in the same direction, indicating a sharp loss of upward momentum and a shift to selling pressure. The confluence of these signals, combined with additional candlestick patterns, suggests that the immediate 1H trend has turned decisively bearish, with the nearest resistance at 1.62660 acting as a key barrier to any upside recovery.

However, the bearish signal on the 1H timeframe is in direct conflict with the higher-timeframe trend. The 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H charts all show a bullish trend, with the 2H and 4H trends rated as solid (3/5). This suggests that the current 1H bearish move may be a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend, rather than the start of a new downtrend. The nearest support at 1.59547 is a critical level to watch; if price breaks below this, the bearish case strengthens, but if it holds, the higher-timeframe bullish trend could resume. Traders should be cautious of the conflicting signals and wait for confirmation before committing to a short position.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of over 20 indicators all pointing bearish on the 1H timeframe.
▼ Candlestick patterns add to the bearish case, increasing signal strength.
▼ The 1H trend is rated as bearish with a very strong signal strength (85% probability).

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H-12H) are bullish, which could invalidate the short-term bearish move.
▲ The 1H trend is choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating weak trend conviction.
▲ If price holds above support and bounces, the bearish signal may fail.
▲ Watch for a break above resistance at 1.62660 to invalidate the bearish outlook.