GBP/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-16 17:30 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.23 %

Entry

1.33529

Target

1.32312 +0.91 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.34152 −0.47 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,888 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,888 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMI Signal Cross Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, TSI Signal Cross Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +7% Scalping

▲ Bullish 14 % (4.64) ▼ Bearish 86 % (28.84)

model score 86.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.5 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.8 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 392 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.08
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.07
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.98
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.94
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.86
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	1.83
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.51
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	1.40
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.24
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.06
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.98
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of overbought exit signals on the 30m chart points to a likely short-term bearish pullback.
The broader trend is bullish on most timeframes, so this may be a correction within an uptrend rather than a full reversal.
Key level to watch: support at 1.32312; a break below could signal a deeper decline.
Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are bearish, adding some weight to the sell signal, but the immediate trend is still bullish.

The 30-minute GBP/USD signal is strongly bearish, with a 72% probability and a barrage of overbought exit indicators firing simultaneously — BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO OB Exit, RSI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, and RSX OB Exit, among others. This cluster suggests that the recent upside momentum on this timeframe has become stretched and is now reversing. However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across most timeframes, from 15-minute up to 8-hour, with the 30-minute itself showing a very strong bullish trend (4/5). This creates a conflict: the immediate signal is a pullback within a larger uptrend, not necessarily a trend reversal.

The alignment across timeframes is mixed. While the shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h) are bullish, the higher timeframes (12h and 1d) are bearish, which may support a deeper correction. The nearest support is at 1.32312, a key level to watch. If the pullback holds above this support, it could be a temporary dip within the bullish structure; a break below would strengthen the bearish case. The signal's moderate strength and the conflicting higher timeframe trends suggest caution. Traders should monitor price action around 1.32312 and watch for any shift in the 30-minute trend score from bullish to bearish.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exit indicators (RSI, CMO, WILLR, RSX) firing together on the 30m chart, indicating stretched upside momentum.
▼ The 12h and 1d timeframes are bearish, providing a longer-term backdrop that could support a sustained move down.
▼ The signal includes candlestick patterns, adding confluence to the indicator-based sell signal.
▼ The nearest resistance is N/A, meaning there is little overhead supply to halt a decline.

Risk Factors

▲ The 30m trend is very strongly bullish (4/5), and most other timeframes are bullish, which could overpower this pullback signal.
▲ If the price holds above the 1.32312 support, the sell signal may fail and the uptrend could resume.
▲ The signal strength is only moderate, and the probability (72%) leaves a 28% chance of the opposite outcome.
▲ A conflicting higher timeframe (1h, 2h) showing bullish trends might invalidate the sell if the pullback is shallow.