SOL/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-16 09:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now ±0.00 %

Entry

106.70

Target

104.59 +1.98 %

closes in profit

Stop

108.67 −1.85 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 4 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,356 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 9,356 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

37.9 % ↓ −29.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (22.57)

model score 9.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 09:32 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.60
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.00
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.24
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.84

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple overbought exit signals align with a bearish candlestick pattern, suggesting a high-probability short-term reversal.
Higher timeframes (4h and above) are all bearish, reinforcing the sell signal as a continuation rather than a reversal.
Watch the 104.59000 support as the primary downside target; a break below could accelerate selling.
The signal is weak (62% probability), so position sizing should be conservative and stops should be tight.

The SELL signal on SOL/USDT 30-minute timeframe is driven by a confluence of momentum and candlestick indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, KDJ OB Exit, and HMA Retreat Down all point to a loss of upward momentum from overbought conditions, while the Bearish Harami confirms a potential reversal. The ZSCORE Extreme High Exit adds a statistical edge, indicating price is stretched above its mean.

Despite the 15m and 30m timeframes still showing bullish bias, the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are all bearish, with solid trend scores on the 4h and above. This suggests the recent bounce is a correction within a larger downtrend, and the 30m signal may be the start of a resumption lower. The nearest support at 104.59000 is the first target, while resistance at 108.67000 is a key level to watch; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of seven different signals, including momentum oscillators and a candlestick pattern, all pointing to bearishness.
▼ Strong bearish trend on higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) supports the idea that the 30m pullback is likely to continue.
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicates price is statistically overextended, increasing the likelihood of a mean reversion.
▼ Resistance at 108.67000 is nearby, providing a clear invalidation level for the bearish thesis.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are still bullish, which could mean the pullback is shallow and price may resume upward.
▲ The signal strength is weak (62%), so the probability of failure is not negligible.
▲ If price breaks above 108.67000, the bearish setup is invalidated and could lead to a short squeeze.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly, leading to a sideways consolidation rather than a clear decline.