USD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-16 17:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.15 %

Entry

1.41391

Target

1.40900 +0.35 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.42223 −0.59 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 992 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 992 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.38 % 38 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +1% Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (44.89)

model score 10.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.79
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.71
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.46
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.42
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.41
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.40
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.33
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.33
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.31
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.10
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.84
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.68

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 1H timeframe with 100% probability and very strong strength.
Short-term timeframes (15m-4h) are bearish, but higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are bullish, suggesting a counter-trend move.
Key resistance at 1.42223; no clear support level, so manage risk with tight stops.
Watch for signs of bullish reversal from higher timeframes, which could invalidate the short-term sell signal.

The 1H USD/CAD signal is heavily bearish, with a 100% probability and very strong strength. A cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators—STOCH KD Cross Down, DEMA Break Down, EMA Break Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, and MAMA PRICE Break Down—all align to confirm a downward move. The confluence of these signals across different indicator types (stochastic, moving averages, trendlines) suggests a robust selling opportunity in the short term.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent from 15m up to 4h, with solid trends on the 15m, 30m, and 8h, while the 1h and 2h are forming. However, the higher timeframes (12h and 1d) are bullish, indicating that this is likely a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. The nearest resistance is at 1.42223, which could act as a ceiling if price retraces, but there is no defined support level, making downside targets unclear. Traders should watch for a potential reversal near the 12h/1d bullish trend strength.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator types (stochastic, moving averages, trendlines) all pointing down simultaneously.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, and 8h timeframes.
▼ A break below key moving averages and trendlines often signals momentum shift.
▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability increase confidence in the move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trends (12h, 1d) are bullish, which may limit the downside or cause a reversal.
▲ No clear support level means the move could be shallow or face a quick bounce.
▲ The 4h trend is choppy/sideways, indicating potential consolidation or indecision.
▲ If price reclaims the broken levels (e.g., EMA or trendline), the sell signal could be invalidated.