USD/CHF – 8H – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now ±0.00 %
Entry
0.82397
Target
0.80672 +2.09 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.83826 −1.73 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 10
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 47 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 207 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 207 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.67 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.40 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.39 % 20 % at stop avg −0.59 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Down, ALMA Break Down, T3 Retreat Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (10.08)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
USD/CHF  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.50
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.40
▼ T3 Retreat Down indicator 1.19
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.00
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.97

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple moving-average and candlestick signals align bearish on the 8H chart, suggesting strong downward pressure.
  • The bearish trend is consistent across most timeframes (15m to 12h), but the 1D trend is still bullish, creating a potential conflict.
  • Watch the nearest support at 0.82273; a break below could accelerate selling, while a bounce may signal a pause.
  • The 8H trend strength is weak (1/5), so the signal may be early; confirmation on lower timeframes is advised.
The USD/CHF 8H chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including EMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, T3 Retreat Down, ALMA Break Down, and a Spinning Top Bearish candlestick. This confluence of moving-average and price-action signals indicates strong downward momentum on the 8H timeframe, with the pair retreating from resistance and breaking below key dynamic support levels. The bearish alignment across multiple timeframes—15m through 12h all showing bearish trends—reinforces the sell signal, though the 1D timeframe remains bullish, suggesting a potential conflict at higher levels.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.83826 and nearest support at 0.82273. A break below support could extend the bearish move, while a rebound from support or a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The 8H trend is currently choppy/sideways (1/5 strength), indicating that while momentum is bearish, the trend is not yet firmly established. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation or reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of five bearish signals on the 8H timeframe, including EMA, MAMA, T3, ALMA, and a bearish candlestick pattern.
  • ▼ Bearish trend alignment across multiple timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, 12h) supports the sell bias.
  • ▼ Price is retreating from resistance, with dynamic moving averages acting as overhead supply.
  • ▼ Strong signal strength (very_strong) and high probability (100%) based on the automated system.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 1D timeframe is still bullish, which could limit downside or trigger a reversal if higher-timeframe momentum resumes.
  • ▲ The 8H trend is choppy/sideways with weak strength (1/5), indicating the bearish move may lack follow-through.
  • ▲ The nearest support at 0.82273 is a key level; a failure to break below it could lead to a bounce and signal invalidation.
  • ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 0.83826, the bearish setup would be negated, so watch for a close above that level.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-16 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83826 2026-10-01
S1 0.82273 2026-10-02
S2 0.80672 2026-09-09
S3 0.80520 2026-09-03

Tags

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