USD/JPY – 8H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-16 16:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now ±0.00 %

Entry

157.984

Target

157.520 +0.29 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.454 −0.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 47 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 207 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 207 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.67 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.40 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.39 % 20 % at stop avg −0.59 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % – first candle

MODERATE Swing

▲ Bullish 29 % (5.16) ▼ Bearish 71 % (12.52)

model score 70.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 13.5 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 489 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	2.01
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.98
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.41
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.28
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.28
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.23
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.17
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.15
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.87

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signal on 8H with multiple retreat indicators aligning.
Mixed trend across timeframes – bearish on 4H/8H, bullish on 1H/12H/1D.
Key resistance at 158.45400; support at 157.52000.
AO Saucer Bullish hints at possible short-term bounce, but overall bias is down.

The USD/JPY 8H signal is firmly bearish, driven by a cluster of retreat signals across multiple indicators: BOP Zero Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, and MIDPRICE Retreat Down. These all point to a loss of upside momentum and a shift toward selling pressure. The AO Saucer Bullish signal, however, suggests that the immediate downside may be limited and that a short-term bounce could occur before the bearish trend resumes.

Across timeframes, the trend is mixed and choppy, with the 4H and 8H showing bearish bias, while the 1H, 12H, and 1D are bullish. This lack of alignment indicates that the bearish signal is not yet confirmed by higher timeframes. The nearest resistance at 158.45400 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, a move below the nearest support at 157.52000 would strengthen the bearish case and could open the door for further downside.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple retreat signals (EMA, DEMA, MA, midpoint, midprice) all point to fading upside momentum.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure is gaining strength.
▼ 4H and 8H trends are bearish, aligning with the signal direction.
▼ Resistance at 158.45400 is a strong barrier that could cap any upside.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, which could override the bearish 8H signal.
▲ AO Saucer Bullish suggests a possible bounce, which could delay the downside.
▲ A break above 158.45400 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Overall market is choppy/sideways, reducing the reliability of trend-following signals.