ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.16 %
Entry
2,431.05
Target
2,393.48 +1.55 %
closes in profit
Stop
2,494.00 −2.59 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,531 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 9,531 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
34 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Down, TEMA Break Down, Trendline Break Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,143 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
47.1 % ↓ −20.0 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 5 % (2.86) ▼ Bearish 95 % (54.14)
model score 33.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
ETH/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 34%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 2.65
▲ CTI OB Exit indicator 2.59
▲ RSX OB Exit indicator 2.53
▼ TEMA Break Down indicator 2.07
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.06
▲ SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross indicator 2.04
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 1.76
▼ KAMA Break Down indicator 1.71
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.62
▼ T3 Retreat Down indicator 1.56
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.33
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.32
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.27
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.22
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.22
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.22
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.22
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.22
▼ ADXR Trend Weak indicator 0.98
▼ STC OB Entry indicator 0.93

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum on the 30M chart with a trendline break and a cluster of momentum crossovers.
  • Higher timeframes are mostly bearish, but the 1H and 30M are still bullish—so the sell is a counter-trend move on those frames.
  • Key levels: resistance at 2494.00, support at 2393.48. A break of support confirms downside; reclaiming resistance invalidates.
  • Watch for a 1H trend flip to bearish to add confidence to the sell signal.
The 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a broad sweep of zero-line and midline crossovers across momentum oscillators (CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI). With 76% probability and strong strength, the immediate bias is firmly lower. However, the higher-timeframe picture is mixed: the 1H and 30M trends are still bullish (albeit forming), while the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are all bearish, with the 8H and 12H showing solid trends. This suggests the sell signal is part of a broader downtrend that is reasserting itself after a corrective bounce, rather than a fresh reversal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 2494.00 and support at 2393.48. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and likely extend the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish setup. The confluence of trendline breakdown and multiple momentum crossovers reinforces the bearish case, but the mixed higher-timeframe alignment (bullish 1H) warrants caution. Traders should monitor whether the 1H trend flips bearish to add conviction, and watch for any failure to hold below the 30M structure that triggered the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trendline Break Down on the 30M chart signals a shift in short-term structure.
  • ▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossed zero down, confirming broad selling pressure.
  • ▼ RSI midline cross down adds to the bearish momentum confirmation.
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, aligning with the 30M sell signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 1H and 30M trends are still bullish, which could mean the sell signal is a pullback within an uptrend on those frames.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 2494.00 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated.
  • ▲ The 30M trend is only 'forming' (2/5) and the 1H is choppy—momentum could fade quickly.
  • ▲ A bounce off the 2393.48 support could trap sellers if the broader bullish bias on the 1H resumes.
Symbol ETH/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 34%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-17 12:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 2,494.00000 2026-10-16
R2 2,530.44000 2026-10-14
R3 2,538.52000 2026-10-13
S1 2,393.48000 2026-10-16
S2 2,324.22000 2026-10-15
S3 2,318.00000 2026-10-15

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