LUN/CUSDT – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-17 00:00 UTC 51 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.18 %

Entry

0.00004873

Target

0.00004565 +6.32 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00005231 −7.35 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 56 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.07 % per trade 1,318 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,318 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.76 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.91 % 19 % at stop avg −3.97 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 50 Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

53.9 % – first candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Swing

▲ Bullish 40 % (10.74) ▼ Bearish 60 % (16.35)

model score 60.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (17 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	2.37
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.36
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.18
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.54
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.40
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.39
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	1.26

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum and trend indicators are aligned bearish on the 4H, suggesting a high-probability sell setup.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) confirm the bearish trend, while lower timeframes are bullish, creating a mixed picture.
The nearest support and resistance are both at 0.00005, making it a critical level to watch for breakout or breakdown.
Signal strength is weak, so confirmation from price action is recommended before entering a trade.

The 4H SELL signal on LUN/CUSDT is driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators crossing below key thresholds: BOP, CMO, and RSI all crossed down through their zero/midline levels, while EMA 50, KAMA, MA, and SMA 50 all show a retreat to the downside. This confluence suggests a broad loss of buying pressure and a shift toward bearish momentum on the 4H timeframe. The bearish stance is reinforced by the higher timeframes (8H and 12H) also registering solid bearish trends, while the 1D is bearish but still forming. However, the lower timeframes (15m through 2H) are all bullish and trend forming, indicating that the immediate intraday bias is counter to the signal, which could lead to choppy price action or a pullback before the bearish move resumes.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support and resistance, both at 0.00005, which suggests a tight trading range. A break below this support would confirm the bearish signal and open the path for further downside, while a hold above it could lead to a bounce. The signal strength is weak (60% probability), so traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation, especially given the conflicting bullish signals on lower timeframes.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of BOP, CMO, and RSI crossing down indicates a strong shift in momentum.
▼ EMA 50, KAMA, MA, and SMA 50 all retreating down reinforces the bearish trend on the 4H.
▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are in solid bearish trends, aligning with the signal direction.
▼ Multiple signal groups (candlestick and indicator) are firing, adding to the confluence.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m-2H) are bullish, which could lead to a short-term bounce against the signal.
▲ The signal strength is weak (60%), indicating a higher chance of failure or a false signal.
▲ The support and resistance are at the same level, suggesting a tight range that could lead to a sideways move.
▲ If the price breaks above the resistance at 0.00005, the bearish thesis would be invalidated.