ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-18 10:30 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.05 %

Entry

2,419.15

Target

2,356.79 +2.58 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,430.00 −0.45 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,735 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 9,735 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, Evening Star +8 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,598 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +31.2 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (22.68)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.03
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▼	Evening Star	candlestick	1.40
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.24
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	Evening Doji Star	candlestick	0.96
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.84
▼	Collapsing Doji Star	candlestick	0.67

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30m chart points to strong selling pressure.
Higher timeframes (1h-1d) are bearish, with 8h and 12h in solid downtrends, supporting the sell bias.
Watch the 2430 resistance and 2356.79 support; a break below support could extend the decline.
The signal has a very strong probability (89%) and strength, but lower timeframe choppiness warrants caution.

The SELL signal on ETH/USDT 30-minute chart is backed by a broad cluster of bearish indicators, including a Bearish Engulfing candlestick, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, and VORTEX Cross Down. This confluence suggests strong selling pressure at the current level. While the 15m and 30m timeframes are still showing bullish or choppy conditions, the higher timeframes (1h through 1d) are predominantly bearish, with the 8h and 12h showing solid downtrends. This alignment across higher timeframes supports the bearish bias, indicating that the recent upward movement on lower timeframes may be a retracement within a larger downtrend.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 2430.00, which could act as a ceiling if price attempts to recover, and the nearest support at 2356.79, which is a critical floor. A break below support would likely confirm the continuation of the downtrend, while a reclaim of resistance could invalidate the bearish setup. The strong probability (89%) and very strong signal strength further underscore the conviction behind this sell signal, but traders should remain cautious of potential whipsaws given the choppy conditions on the 30m and 1h timeframes.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicators (Bearish Engulfing, BOP, STOCH, SMA 200, ER, HMA, VORTEX) align in the same direction.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (1h-1d) are bearish, with 8h and 12h showing solid downtrends.
▼ The signal strength is very strong, and probability is high (89%), indicating high conviction.
▼ The nearest resistance at 2430 is likely to repel upward moves, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are still bullish or choppy, which could lead to a short-term bounce.
▲ A break above the 2430 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a rally.
▲ The 30m and 1h trends are weak (1/5), suggesting a lack of momentum and potential for sideways movement.
▲ The Golden Cross on SMA 20/50 is a bullish signal that may conflict with the bearish cluster, warranting caution.