SOL/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.14 %
Entry
102.91
Target
105.28 +2.30 %
closes in profit
Stop
102.49 −0.41 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,531 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 9,531 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
34 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OS Exit, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,143 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
52.8 % ↓ −14.3 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 51 % (7.95) ▼ Bearish 49 % (7.59)
model score 51.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.3 % vs 32.3 % on average · stopped out 45.5 % vs 21.6 % (crypto, 2,519 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
SOL/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 51%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (17 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.82
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.73
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.69
▼ FISHER Zero Cross Down indicator 1.62
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.55
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.54
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.39
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.39
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.16
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.09

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple momentum and mean-reversion indicators on the 30-minute chart are flashing bullish, suggesting a potential short-term bounce.
  • All higher timeframes remain bearish, so this is a counter-trend long within a larger downtrend.
  • Key resistance is at 105.28000; a break above could open the door for further upside, while support at 102.49000 is the invalidation level.
  • Expect limited upside unless the broader trend shifts; manage risk accordingly.
The 30-minute SOL/USDT chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP zero cross up, RSI exiting oversold territory, a STOCHF KD cross up, and a ZSCORE extreme low exit. These momentum and mean-reversion indicators suggest that selling pressure may be exhausting, and a short-term bounce could be underway. The retreat of the ACCBANDS and KELTNER lower bands further supports the idea that price has stretched below volatility envelopes, often preceding a reversion toward the mean.

However, the broader trend context remains firmly bearish across all timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily chart. The 8-hour trend is particularly strong (4/5), indicating that any upside move on the 30-minute chart may be counter-trend and limited. The nearest resistance at 105.28000 is a key hurdle; a break above it would signal stronger buying interest, while the nearest support at 102.49000 is the level to watch for invalidation. Traders should view this as a tactical long opportunity within a larger downtrend, not a reversal signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Strong confluence of signals: BOP, RSI, STOCHF, ZSCORE, and volatility band retreats all align on the 30-minute chart.
  • ▲ RSI exiting oversold and ZSCORE extreme low exit indicate that downside momentum may be exhausted.
  • ▲ The retreat of ACCBANDS and KELTNER lower bands suggests price has deviated significantly from the mean, increasing the likelihood of a reversion.
  • ▲ The signal probability is high at 78% with strong strength, adding conviction to the setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant trend across all timeframes is bearish, with the 8-hour trend very strong (4/5), which could overwhelm the counter-trend bounce.
  • ▼ The 1-hour trend is choppy/sideways, offering little support for a sustained move higher.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 102.49000, the bullish signal is invalidated and further downside is likely.
  • ▼ Momentum signals can fade quickly in a strong downtrend; watch for a failure to hold gains above the breakout level.
Symbol SOL/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 51%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-17 22:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 105.28000 2026-10-17
R2 107.44000 2026-10-16
R3 108.67000 2026-10-14
S1 102.49000 2026-10-16
S2 100.91000 2026-10-15
S3 100.62000 2026-10-15

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