AUD/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-19 20:00 UTC 38 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %

Entry

110.646

Target

111.133 +0.44 %

closes in profit

Stop

108.634 −1.82 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 404 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 404 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Regular Bull Div, AO Regular Bull Div, MAMA Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +8% Swing

▲ Bullish 89 % (17.29) ▼ Bearish 11 % (2.18)

model score 88.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MACD Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.79
▲	AO Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.72
▲	MAMA Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.58
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	1.50
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.35
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	0.88

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence: multiple indicators and divergences align on the 4H timeframe.
Momentum is shifting from bearish to bullish, confirmed by MACD and AO regular bull divergences.
Watch the 111.133 resistance as the immediate target; a break could accelerate upside.
The 108.634 support is the critical invalidation level—if broken, the bullish signal is void.

The AUD/JPY 4H signal stack is overwhelmingly bullish, combining momentum, trend, and divergence confirmation. The MACD Regular Bull Divergence and AO Regular Bull Divergence indicate that downside momentum is waning and a reversal is underway, while the MAMA Cross Up and MAMA PRICE Retreat Up confirm that price is pulling back into a rising trend structure. The T3 Retreat Up and ALMA Retreat Up further validate the bullish pullback, and the STOCH KD Cross Down and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down suggest that the short-term correction is losing steam, setting up for a continuation higher. This confluence of indicators points to a strong buy setup with high probability.

Across timeframes, the trend is bullish from 15m through 4H, with the strongest momentum in the 30m and 1h/2h timeframes, all aligning with the 4H signal. The 8H is choppy/sideways but not bearish, while the 12H and 1D are still bearish, which is the main caveat. The nearest resistance at 111.133 is the immediate upside target, and a break above would likely trigger further buying. The nearest support at 108.634 is the key invalidation zone; as long as price holds above this level, the bullish setup remains valid.

Catalysts

▲ MACD and AO Regular Bull Divergences signal fading bearish momentum and potential trend reversal.
▲ MAMA and T3/ALMA retreats confirm a healthy pullback within an emerging uptrend.
▲ Bullish trend alignment across 15m to 4H timeframes, with very strong momentum on the 30m.
▲ High signal probability (88%) and very strong strength rating based on the indicator and divergence groups.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trend is still bearish on the 12H and 1D, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ The 8H is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear directional commitment on that timeframe.
▼ If price breaks below the 108.634 support, the bullish setup is invalidated and a deeper decline is possible.
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down and HT PHASOR Cross Down could indicate that the current correction has not fully completed, leading to further short-term weakness.