AUD/USD – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-19 20:00 UTC 38 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

0.69792

Target

0.70132 +0.49 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.68941 −1.22 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 404 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 404 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Up, CCI OB Exit, MA Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 91 % (28.90) ▼ Bearish 9 % (2.75)

model score 91.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.78
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.66
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.56
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.51
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.43
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	2.41
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.37
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.33

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish momentum indicators fired together on the 4H chart, pointing to a potential upward move.
The 30m to 8H timeframes are all bullish, but the 12H and 1D remain bearish, making this a counter-trend opportunity.
Watch 0.70132 as the immediate resistance; a break above could open further upside, while 0.68941 is the key support to hold.
High probability (91%) and very strong strength suggest conviction, but higher-timeframe trends argue for caution.

The AUD/USD 4H signal fires a cluster of bullish momentum indicators, led by APO and BOP zero-line crossovers and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE), alongside a CCI oversold exit. Together, these suggest that downside pressure is exhausting and buyers are stepping in at the 4H level, with momentum turning positive after a corrective phase. The alignment across 30m through 8H timeframes — all bullish, though mostly in early trend-forming stages — supports the idea that the 4H move could extend, while the 15m bearish chop and the 12H/1D bearish solid trends introduce a note of caution.

Key levels frame the trade: nearest resistance at 0.70132 is the immediate upside target, while support at 0.68941 marks the structural floor. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish case, but the higher-timeframe bearish bias (12H and 1D solid downtrends) means this is a counter-trend bounce within a larger decline. The strong probability score (91%) and very strong strength rating reflect the confluence of indicator signals, but traders should watch for momentum fading near resistance or a break below support, which would invalidate the setup.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of momentum signals: APO, BOP, and multiple moving-average retreats all pointing up.
▲ CCI oversold exit indicates selling pressure is easing, supporting a bullish reversal.
▲ Timeframe alignment from 30m to 8H is bullish, providing a supportive backdrop for the 4H move.
▲ Very strong strength rating and 91% probability signal reflect high conviction in the setup.

Risk Factors

▼ The 12H and 1D timeframes are in solid bearish trends, which could cap upside or reverse the 4H bounce.
▼ The 15m is bearish and choppy, suggesting near-term noise that could delay or undermine the move.
▼ A break below nearest support at 0.68941 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely trigger further downside.
▼ Momentum could fade near resistance at 0.70132, especially if higher-timeframe sellers re-enter.