GBP/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %
Entry
1.33285
Target
1.33717 +0.32 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.32312 −0.73 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,934 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,934 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,598 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
41.7 % ↓ −19.3 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +7% Scalping
▲ Bullish 95 % (49.26) ▼ Bearish 5 % (2.41)
model score 36.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
GBP/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 36%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 2.35
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.29
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.19
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.18
▲ EMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.15
▲ SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.08
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.70
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.68
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.55
▲ AROON Cross Up indicator 1.50
▲ AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.50
▲ AROON Strong Uptrend indicator 1.41
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.14

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The 30-minute GBP/USD chart shows a strong bullish breakout with multiple momentum indicators confirming the move.
  • Trends are bullish across all intraday timeframes, but the daily chart remains bearish, so this is a counter-trend rally.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 1.33717 for potential profit-taking and the support at 1.32312 as the line in the sand.
  • The signal's high probability and strength are supported by a dense cluster of indicators and candlestick patterns.
The GBP/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by Aroon Cross Up and Aroon Strong Uptrend, which confirm a fresh directional push. The Aroon Oscillator's zero-line crossover adds momentum confirmation, while the Balance of Power (BOP) crossing above zero signals that buyers are gaining control of the session's price action. The retreat of EMA 50, MAMA, and MIDPOINT from their recent lows further underscores that the pullback has ended and the underlying uptrend is resuming. The signal's very strong strength and 95% probability reflect the high confluence of indicators and candlestick patterns aligned in the same direction.

Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent from 15 minutes up to 12 hours, with the 2-hour chart showing the most solid trend. However, the daily timeframe remains bearish, which caps the upside potential and means this is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The immediate upside target is the nearest resistance at 1.33717, while the nearest support at 1.32312 serves as the key invalidation level. A break below support would negate the bullish setup, whereas a sustained push above resistance could open the door to a deeper correction of the daily downtrend.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Aroon Cross Up and Strong Uptrend confirm a fresh directional push on the 30-minute chart.
  • ▲ Confluence of momentum indicators (BOP, Aroon Oscillator) and moving average retreats (EMA 50, MAMA, MIDPOINT) all pointing higher.
  • ▲ Bullish trend alignment across 15m to 12h timeframes, with the 2h chart showing a solid trend.
  • ▲ High signal probability (95%) and very strong strength reflect exceptional technical confluence.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The daily timeframe is in a solid bearish trend, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ The 4h and 8h charts are choppy/sideways, suggesting the broader intraday momentum is not fully committed.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.32312 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a return to the larger downtrend.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 1.33717 may act as a strong ceiling, especially if the daily downtrend resumes.
Symbol GBP/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 36%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-19 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.33717 2026-10-16
S1 1.32312 2026-10-15
S2 1.31369 2026-10-14

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