NZD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-19 01:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.12 %

Entry

0.56503

Target

0.55910 +1.05 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56750 −0.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,015 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,015 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.38 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,598 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +12% Intraday

▲ Bullish 10 % (2.01) ▼ Bearish 90 % (17.19)

model score 10.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 410 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.12
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	2.01
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.95
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.85
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.67
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.51
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.15
▼	Collapsing Doji Star	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish indicators align on the 1H chart, signaling a strong short-term sell opportunity.
The 1D trend is very strongly bearish, supporting the bearish bias, but shorter timeframes are still bullish.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.56750 and support at 0.55910; a break below support confirms the move.
The SAR Flip Bullish adds a cautionary note, suggesting a possible bounce before further downside.

The NZD/USD 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum and trend indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, and TTM TREND Trend Down. This confluence suggests a strong short-term bearish push, with the SAR Flip Bullish and HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle adding nuance—SAR flipping bullish typically indicates a potential trend reversal, but here it may reflect a temporary bounce within a broader downtrend. The probability is rated at 89% with very strong strength, underscoring the conviction behind the signal.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish on the higher timeframes. The 1D chart shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), while the 12H is solidly bullish (3/5), creating a conflict. The 1H, 2H, and 8H are all bullish but only trend forming (2/5), suggesting the bearish signal is firing against the immediate trend. The nearest resistance is at 0.56750 and support at 0.55910. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a push above resistance would invalidate the signal. Traders should watch these levels closely for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators on the 1H timeframe (BOP, STOCHF, DEMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, TTM TREND).
▼ Very strong bearish trend on the 1D timeframe (4/5), providing a higher-timeframe tailwind.
▼ High probability rating (89%) and very strong signal strength indicate robust technical alignment.

Risk Factors

▲ Conflicting bullish trends on 12H and 1H timeframes could stall the bearish move.
▲ The SAR Flip Bullish suggests a potential short-term bounce, which could trigger a pullback against the signal.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 0.56750, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum may fade if the 1H trend fails to turn bearish, as current shorter-term trends are still forming.