SOL/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −1.29 %
Entry
105.29
Target
106.22 +0.88 %
closes in profit
Stop
100.43 −4.62 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 9,954 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 9,954 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
34 % at target avg +1.12 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Up, ALMA Break Up, T3 Break Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.9 % – vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 100 % (34.35) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 1.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.0 % vs 32.3 % on average · stopped out 31.7 % vs 22.0 % (crypto, 1,703 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
SOL/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 2%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 13:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 3.01
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.91
▲ T3 Break Up indicator 2.81
▲ MA Break Up indicator 2.74
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 2.73
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.43
▲ EMA Break Up indicator 2.30
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 2.15
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.13
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.11
▲ KAMA Break Up indicator 2.02
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.94
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 0.87

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish breakout on 30M, but higher timeframes are bearish – watch for resistance.
  • Key levels: support at 100.43, resistance at 106.22.
  • Momentum is early-stage (trend forming) on 30M/1H, so confirmation is needed.
  • If price fails to hold above 100.43, the bullish signal is invalidated.
On the 30-minute timeframe, a very strong bullish signal has fired, with a 100% probability, driven by a confluence of trend-following indicators: the BBANDS LOWER band retreating upward, EMA and KAMA breakouts, a bullish SAR flip, and multiple moving average breakouts. This suggests a short-term momentum shift to the upside, with the nearest resistance at 106.22 and support at 100.43. The signal is supported by the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes both turning bullish, albeit with trend scores still forming (2/5), indicating early-stage trend development.

However, the broader trend context is bearish: the 2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes all show bearish trends, with the 8h being very strong (4/5). This creates a significant conflict: the short-term bullish move is occurring within a larger bearish structure. The 15m and 2h timeframes are also bearish, which may act as headwinds. Traders should watch whether the price can hold above support at 100.43 and push toward resistance at 106.22; failure to sustain the breakout could see the bearish higher timeframes reasserting control.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicators align: BBANDS, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, SMA, and SAR all flashing bullish.
  • ▲ 30M and 1H timeframes both turning bullish, showing a short-term trend shift.
  • ▲ Signal probability at 100% with very strong strength suggests high conviction in the short-term move.
  • ▲ Breakouts across several moving averages indicate strong buying pressure.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2H-1D) are bearish, with 8H very strong bearish – these could overpower the short-term bounce.
  • ▼ 15M and 2H are still bearish, conflicting with the 30M bullish signal.
  • ▼ If price drops below support at 100.43, the bullish signal is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.
  • ▼ Trend scores are only 2/5 on the bullish timeframes, indicating the trend is not yet established.
Symbol SOL/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 2%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-19 12:30
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 106.22000 2026-10-19
R2 107.44000 2026-10-16
S1 100.43000 2026-10-18

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