USD/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %
Entry
157.906
Target
158.949 +0.66 %
closes in profit
Stop
157.546 −0.23 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 656 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 656 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
21 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.23 % 15 % at stop avg −0.46 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up, QSTICK Zero Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,598 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +1% Intraday
▲ Bullish 87 % (15.89) ▼ Bearish 13 % (2.44)
model score 86.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 497 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up indicator 2.11
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 2.11
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.04
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.88
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.81
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.73
▲ HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.71
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ Gapping Down Doji candlestick 1.04
▲ Bullish Meeting Lines candlestick 1.00

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A cluster of bullish indicators on the 2H chart suggests strong upward momentum, but the higher timeframe trend is mixed, so confirmation is key.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 158.94900; a break above could signal continuation, while a drop below support at 157.54600 would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • The signal is very strong (86% probability), but the bearish trends on 15m, 30m, 2H, 4H, and 8H imply this could be a counter-trend move.
  • Trend scores are weak (1-2/5) across most timeframes, indicating choppy conditions and a need for patience.
The USD/JPY 2H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, HT SINE Cross Up, ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up, and QSTICK Zero Cross Up, alongside two additional signals. This confluence suggests a strong upward push on the 2H timeframe, with momentum and trend indicators aligning in favor of buyers. However, the broader trend picture is mixed: while the 1H, 12H, and 1D timeframes show bullish tendencies, the 15m, 30m, 2H, 4H, and 8H are bearish or choppy. This divergence indicates that the 2H bullish signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure, or the start of a reversal that needs confirmation on higher timeframes.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.94900 and support at 157.54600. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and could open the path for further upside, while a break below support would invalidate the signal. Given the very strong signal strength (86% probability), traders should monitor whether price can hold above the 2H EMA 200 and maintain the bullish crossovers. The mixed higher-timeframe trends warrant caution, as the signal may face headwinds from the bearish 4H and 8H perspectives.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicators firing together (BOP, DEMA, EMA 200, MAMA PRICE, HT SINE, ICHIMOKU, QSTICK) create strong confluence for a bullish move.
  • ▲ The 2H signal is very strong with an 86% probability, suggesting high conviction among the indicators.
  • ▲ The 1H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are bullish, providing some higher-timeframe support for the move.
  • ▲ The nearest resistance is relatively close, and a break above could trigger further momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The majority of timeframes (15m, 30m, 2H, 4H, 8H) are bearish, which could overpower the 2H bullish signal.
  • ▼ Trend scores are low (1-2/5) across most timeframes, indicating weak trend strength and potential for choppy, sideways price action.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 157.54600 would invalidate the bullish setup and could lead to further downside.
  • ▼ The bearish 4H and 8H trends may act as resistance to any upside move, limiting the rally.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 87%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-19 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.94900 2026-10-14
S1 157.54600 2026-10-15
S2 157.52000 2026-10-08
S3 156.95100 2026-10-02

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