AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-19 23:00 UTC 37 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.05 %

Entry

110.646

Target

109.628 +0.92 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.133 −0.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,038 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,038 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.38 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Signal Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 24 % (2.29) ▼ Bearish 76 % (7.18)

model score 75.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.8 % vs 18.8 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 417 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.00
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.38
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	1.19
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	1.10
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	0.64

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Seven bearish signals converge on the 1H, including reversal candlesticks and momentum retreats, pointing to a strong sell setup.
The sell is counter-trend against bullish 30M-2H trends, so it's best treated as a pullback trade, not a full reversal.
Watch 111.13300 as resistance — a break above invalidates the bearish case; 109.62800 is the key support to target.
Higher timeframe bearishness (12H, 1D) supports the idea that this sell could be part of a larger correction.

The 1H SELL signal on AUD/JPY fires against a predominantly bullish backdrop across lower timeframes, creating a counter-trend opportunity that demands caution. The confluence of seven signals — BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, T3 Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, plus the Dragonfly Doji and Takuri Line candlesticks — indicates a sharp bearish reversal attempt at the upper end of the recent range. The candlestick patterns, both classic reversal signals, suggest sellers are stepping in after a push higher, while the retreat from the Keltner upper band and the T3 retreat confirm momentum is stalling.

However, the trend structure is mixed. While the 1H, 2H, and 30M timeframes show solid bullish trends (3/5, 3/5, 4/5 respectively), the higher timeframes — 12H and 1D — are bearish, hinting that this sell signal may align with a larger correction. The nearest resistance at 111.13300 is just above, and a failure to break it would validate the bearish setup, while support at 109.62800 represents the primary downside target. The 75% probability and strong strength score suggest the signal has robust backing, but the conflicting lower timeframe bullishness means the sell is likely a pullback trade rather than a trend reversal. Traders should watch for a break below the 1H bullish structure to confirm the move, with the 109.62800 level as the key decision point.

Catalysts

▼ Strong signal strength with 75% probability and multiple confirming indicators.
▼ Reversal candlesticks (Dragonfly Doji, Takuri Line) at the upper range suggest seller exhaustion.
▼ Higher timeframe bearish trend (12H, 1D) aligns with the sell direction, adding weight to the correction thesis.
▼ Retreat from the Keltner upper band and T3 retreat indicate momentum is fading.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframe bullish trends (30M, 1H) are solid and could overpower the sell signal, leading to a bounce.
▲ Resistance at 111.13300 is close; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The signal is counter-trend on the 1H and 2H, so momentum could stall quickly if buyers defend the range.
▲ If the 1H bullish trend holds, the sell may only be a shallow dip, with limited downside before support is tested.