EUR/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-20 11:00 UTC 58 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.13 %

Entry

1.12308

Target

1.12696 +0.35 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12026 −0.25 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 94 % (22.24) ▼ Bearish 6 % (1.52)

model score 2.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 18.3 % on average · stopped out 14.1 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 525 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.99
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.97
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.96
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.96
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.95
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.95
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.89
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.25
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.19
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	0.89
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.82

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong short-term bullish signal on 30M with 93% probability, but it's a counter-trend move against higher timeframe bearishness.
Watch the nearest resistance at 1.12312; a break above could signal a larger reversal, but rejection may lead to a pullback.
Support at 1.12026 is the key invalidation level; if price falls below, the bullish signal is void.
Trend alignment is mixed: lower timeframes are bullish, higher timeframes are bearish, so expect choppy price action.

The 30M timeframe has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT), all aligned on the same direction. This suggests strong short-term buying pressure and a potential bounce from recent lows. The signal probability is very high at 93% with very strong strength, indicating a high degree of confluence among the indicators.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 15M, 30M, and 1H timeframes are bullish (though choppy/sideways), the higher timeframes from 2H up to 1D are bearish, with the daily trend being very strong. This means the bullish signal is a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 1.12312 is a key level to watch; if price fails to break above it, the bounce may fade. Conversely, support at 1.12026 is the immediate invalidation zone if the bullish momentum stalls.

Catalysts

▲ High confluence of signals: multiple moving average retreats and indicator crossovers all firing together.
▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability (93%) suggest robust short-term momentum.
▲ Support at 1.12026 is close, providing a clear invalidation level and potential springboard for a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe bearishness (1D very strong) may overpower the short-term bullish move, leading to a failed bounce.
▼ The 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H trends are all bearish, creating strong overhead resistance.
▼ If the nearest resistance at 1.12312 holds, the bullish signal may fade and price could retest support.
▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on lower timeframes indicate low trend strength (1/5), so moves may lack follow-through.