NZD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-20 13:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %

Entry

0.56818

Target

0.56930 +0.20 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56532 −0.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CTI OB Exit, RSX OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 67 % (12.94) ▼ Bearish 33 % (6.43)

model score 6.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.13
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.83
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	1.65
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.03
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	0.92
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish indicators fired on the 30M chart, suggesting a short-term reversal is in play.
Trend alignment is bullish from 15M to 12H, but the 1D trend is strongly bearish—this is a counter-trend signal.
Key support at 0.56532 is the invalidation level; a break below it would negate the bullish setup.
Strength is moderate (66% probability), so position sizing should be conservative.

The 30-minute NZD/USD signal fires a cluster of bullish indicators, including MACD Signal Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, CTI OB Exit, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up, RSX OB Exit, and STC OS Entry. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent bearish pressure is exhausting and that buyers are stepping in, with multiple oscillators exiting overbought or oversold conditions and trend-following indicators aligning for a potential upward move. The candlestick group adds confluence, reinforcing the idea that a reversal is underway.

Across timeframes, the bullish trend is forming or solid from 15 minutes up to 12 hours, all scoring 2/5 or 3/5, which indicates a developing but not yet robust uptrend. However, the 1-day timeframe remains strongly bearish at 4/5, creating a significant conflict. This means the current bullish signal is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The nearest support is at 0.56532, which is a critical level to watch; a break below it would invalidate the bullish thesis. As resistance is not defined, the upside may be capped by the broader bearish trend, so traders should expect limited upside potential unless higher timeframes shift.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple oscillator exits (CTI OB Exit, RSX OB Exit, STC OS Entry) points to a shift in momentum.
▲ Bullish trend scores across lower timeframes (15M to 12H) support the move.
▲ Support at 0.56532 is nearby, providing a clear reference point for the bullish case.
▲ Candlestick group adds confirmation to the indicator signals.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1-day timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), which could overpower the short-term bullish move.
▼ If price falls below 0.56532, the bullish signal is invalidated and a deeper decline may resume.
▼ The bullish trend is only 'forming' (2/5) on most timeframes, indicating weak conviction.
▼ No defined resistance means the upside could be limited by the broader downtrend.