USD/CAD – 8H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED
7 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.29 %
Entry
1.40590
Target
1.43000 +1.71 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.37593 −2.13 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price
So far 47 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 277 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 277 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.65 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 34 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.42 % 19 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI OS Exit +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.1 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 17.7 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 475 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CAD  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDReal PCE q/q●●○Forecast 3.5%Previous 3.8%in 17h
  • TomorrowUSDGDP q/q●●●Forecast 1.4%Previous 2.2%in 17h
  • TomorrowUSDPersonal Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.9%Previous 0.9%in 17h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 11 × 8h 100%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 2.58
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.54
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.39
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.37
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.31
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.18
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.02
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick 0.95

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish cluster on 8H suggests a potential reversal, but higher timeframes are bearish and strong.
  • Watch the 1.43000 resistance; a break above would confirm bullish momentum.
  • Support at 1.37593 is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the signal.
  • The EMA 20/50 Death Cross is a bearish note within an otherwise bullish signal set.
The 8H USD/CAD signal fires a cluster of bullish indicators — BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, HMA Retreat Up, and a Bullish Harami candlestick pattern — suggesting a potential upward reversal within the 8H timeframe. However, the broader trend context is predominantly bearish, with the 4H, 2H, and 1H timeframes all showing very strong bearish trends. This creates a conflicting picture: the 8H signal may be capturing a short-term bounce within a larger downtrend, or it could be an early sign of a trend shift, but the higher timeframe alignment does not yet support a sustained bullish move.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.43000 and support at 1.37593. A sustained break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a move back toward support would invalidate the reversal. The EMA 20/50 Death Cross noted in the signal is a bearish crossover, adding to the caution. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend signal with moderate probability (77%) and strong internal confluence, but the bearish higher timeframes argue for patience and confirmation before committing.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, RSI, STOCHF, EMAs, SMAs, HMA) all firing in the same bullish direction on 8H.
  • ▲ Bullish Harami candlestick pattern adds candlestick confirmation.
  • ▲ RSI exiting oversold territory often precedes upward momentum.
  • ▲ Strong signal strength (77% probability) and high internal confluence.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H-4H) are bearish and very strong; they may overpower the 8H bullish signal.
  • ▼ The EMA 20/50 Death Cross is a bearish crossover that could signal continued downside.
  • ▼ Failure to hold above support at 1.37593 would invalidate the bullish case.
  • ▼ Resistance at 1.43000 is nearby and may cap any rally if not decisively broken.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 8H
Direction BUY
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-20 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.43000 2026-10-14
S1 1.37593 2026-09-08
S2 1.37317 2026-08-21

Tags

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