AVA/XUSDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.80 %
Entry
9.6570
Target
9.3900 +2.76 %
closes in profit
Stop
9.8400 −1.89 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 10,370 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 10,370 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, MA Break Down +20 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.9 % – vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 5 % (2.68) ▼ Bearish 95 % (55.81)
model score 2.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
AVA/XUSDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 2%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 10:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HT TRENDLINE Break Down indicator 3.10
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.94
▼ MA Break Down indicator 2.80
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.68
▼ MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 2.57
▼ EMA Break Down indicator 2.41
▼ MIDPOINT Break Down indicator 2.39
▼ DEMA Break Down indicator 2.23
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.82
▼ DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.80
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.62
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.62
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.62
▼ RSX Midline Cross Down indicator 1.60
▼ DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.59
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.59
▼ KST Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ AO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ VORTEX Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.37
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.36
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.35
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.33
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.22

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on 30m with 95% probability and very strong strength.
  • Multiple momentum and trend indicators (CCI, DI/DM, MOM, ROC, DEMA/EMA) align for a sell bias.
  • Immediate trend is bearish on 15m and 30m, but 1h and 2h are still bullish—conflict to watch.
  • Key levels: resistance at 9.84000, support at 9.39000; a break below support confirms bearish, reclaim of resistance invalidates.
A dense cluster of bearish indicators has fired on the 30-minute chart for AVA/XUSDT, including CCI Zero Cross Down, DI/DM Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC/ROCR Cross Down, and DEMA/EMA Break Down, among more than 20 total signals. This convergence suggests a strong, coordinated shift in momentum and trend direction at the traded timeframe. The probability is rated at 95% with very strong strength, indicating a high-confidence signal that aligns with the immediate lower-timeframe trend (15m and 30m both bearish, though choppy).

However, the broader picture is mixed: the 1h and 2h timeframes are still bullish (trend forming), while the 4h and higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish. This creates a conflict between the near-term bearish push and the medium-term bullish structure. The nearest resistance at 9.84000 and support at 9.39000 define the immediate range; a break below support would confirm the bearish bias, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it. The alignment of multiple momentum and trend indicators on the 30m, combined with the bearish higher timeframes, supports a continued downside move, but the choppy nature of the lower timeframes and the bullish 1h/2h trend warrant caution.
Catalysts
  • ▼ High confluence of over 20 bearish indicators on the 30m timeframe.
  • ▼ Bearish alignment across higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) supports the downside.
  • ▼ Strong trend score (very strong) and high probability (95%) increase signal reliability.
  • ▼ Momentum indicators (CCI, MOM, ROC) all crossing zero down simultaneously.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways price action on 15m and 30m may lead to false breakdowns.
  • ▲ Bullish trend forming on 1h and 2h could counter the bearish signal if higher-timeframe momentum persists.
  • ▲ Nearest support at 9.39000 is a key invalidation level; a bounce from there could stall the move.
  • ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 9.84000, the bearish setup is invalidated.
Symbol AVA/XUSDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 2%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 10:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 9.84000 2026-10-20
R2 9.91800 2026-10-20
S1 9.39000 2026-10-20
S2 9.26400 2026-10-18

Tags

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