AVA/XUSDT – 30M – SELL
SELL NEWWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.
Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, MA Break Down +20 more
Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(21 Oct 2026, 10:32 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Break Down | indicator | 3.10 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.94 |
| ▼ | MA Break Down | indicator | 2.80 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.68 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.57 |
| ▼ | EMA Break Down | indicator | 2.41 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Break Down | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▼ | DEMA Break Down | indicator | 2.23 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▼ | DI CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | RSX Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | DM CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | QSTICK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | KST Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▼ | AO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | VORTEX Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | KDJ Cross Down | indicator | 1.22 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Strong bearish signal on 30m with 95% probability and very strong strength.
- Multiple momentum and trend indicators (CCI, DI/DM, MOM, ROC, DEMA/EMA) align for a sell bias.
- Immediate trend is bearish on 15m and 30m, but 1h and 2h are still bullish—conflict to watch.
- Key levels: resistance at 9.84000, support at 9.39000; a break below support confirms bearish, reclaim of resistance invalidates.
However, the broader picture is mixed: the 1h and 2h timeframes are still bullish (trend forming), while the 4h and higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish. This creates a conflict between the near-term bearish push and the medium-term bullish structure. The nearest resistance at 9.84000 and support at 9.39000 define the immediate range; a break below support would confirm the bearish bias, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it. The alignment of multiple momentum and trend indicators on the 30m, combined with the bearish higher timeframes, supports a continued downside move, but the choppy nature of the lower timeframes and the bullish 1h/2h trend warrant caution.
- ▼ High confluence of over 20 bearish indicators on the 30m timeframe.
- ▼ Bearish alignment across higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) supports the downside.
- ▼ Strong trend score (very strong) and high probability (95%) increase signal reliability.
- ▼ Momentum indicators (CCI, MOM, ROC) all crossing zero down simultaneously.
- ▲ Choppy/sideways price action on 15m and 30m may lead to false breakdowns.
- ▲ Bullish trend forming on 1h and 2h could counter the bearish signal if higher-timeframe momentum persists.
- ▲ Nearest support at 9.39000 is a key invalidation level; a bounce from there could stall the move.
- ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 9.84000, the bearish setup is invalidated.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 9.84000 | 2026-10-20 |
| R2 | 9.91800 | 2026-10-20 |
| S1 | 9.39000 | 2026-10-20 |
| S2 | 9.26400 | 2026-10-18 |