EUR/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %
Entry
1.57924
Target
1.57401 +0.33 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.58646 −0.46 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,150 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,150 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Triple Top, Double Top, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat +10 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping
▲ Bullish 8 % (6.07) ▼ Bearish 92 % (67.41)
model score 11.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
EUR/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 11%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Triple Topbreak + retest chart_pattern 3.46
▼ Double Topbreak + retest chart_pattern 2.96
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.79
▼ KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat indicator 2.33
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 2.30
▲ ULTOSC OB Exit indicator 2.27
▲ RSI OB Exit indicator 2.16
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.03
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.78
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.67
▲ KDJ OB Exit indicator 1.58
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.57
▼ ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat indicator 1.57
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.56
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.51
▲ AO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.40
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 1.14
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 1.02

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30M chart points to a high-probability sell setup.
  • Higher timeframes (2h, 4h) are already bearish, supporting the short-term bearish bias.
  • Watch the key support at 1.57718; a break below would confirm the move.
  • The nearest resistance at 1.58033 is the invalidation level to monitor.
The EUR/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Double Top and Triple Top, alongside multiple overbought exits (RSI, ULTOSC, WILLR) and a BOP zero cross down. This confluence suggests a strong short-term rejection of higher prices, with momentum shifting lower. The EMA 200 retreat down further confirms that the medium-term trend is turning against the pair.

Across higher timeframes, the 2h and 4h charts are already bearish, with the 2h showing a very strong trend (4/5). While the 15m to 1h timeframes are still bullish, they are only trend forming (2/5), indicating that the bearish pressure from higher timeframes is likely to dominate. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.58033 and support at 1.57718. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple overbought exits (RSI, ULTOSC, WILLR) indicate exhaustion of buying pressure.
  • ▼ Double Top and Triple Top patterns provide strong chart pattern confluence.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 2h and 4h timeframes strengthens the bearish case.
  • ▼ EMA 200 retreat down signals a shift in the medium-term trend.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15m to 1h timeframes are still bullish, which could cause short-term counter-trend moves.
  • ▲ A reclaim of the 1.58033 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ If the pair holds above support, the bearish momentum may fade, leading to a consolidation.
  • ▲ The high probability (80%) is based on current signals; any change in higher timeframe trend could reduce reliability.
Symbol EUR/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 11%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.58033 2026-10-21
R2 1.58190 2026-10-20
R3 1.58208 2026-10-19
S1 1.57718 2026-10-21
S2 1.57401 2026-10-20

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