EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.00 %
Entry
177.433
Target
176.923 +0.29 %
closes in profit
Stop
177.834 −0.23 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,150 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,150 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +25.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +11% Scalping
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (39.25)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
EUR/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 100%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ TSI Signal Cross Up indicator 2.25
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.05
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.03
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.02
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.00
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 1.78
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.75
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.40
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.35
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 1.09

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30M chart points to a strong, immediate downside move.
  • The bearish bias is consistent across all timeframes, but higher timeframes show only a forming trend, so the move may be part of a larger correction.
  • Watch the nearest support at 177.13600; a break below it would confirm the bearish momentum.
  • The nearest resistance at 177.83400 is the invalidation level; a reclaim would negate the sell signal.
The 30-minute EUR/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing to a strong, immediate downside move. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicate a shift in momentum and a loss of buying pressure, while the retreat of multiple moving averages (EMA, KAMA, MA, SMA 200) confirms that price is pulling back from recent highs. The BBANDS Middle Cross Down and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down add further weight, suggesting that the ongoing downtrend is being reinforced by both volatility and trendline dynamics.

Across higher timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though not overwhelmingly strong. The 15m and 30m charts show a solid bearish trend (3/5), while the 1h and 4h are choppy and sideways, indicating that the immediate move is part of a broader, still-developing downtrend. The 2h through 1d timeframes all show a bearish 'trend forming' (2/5), which suggests that the current sell signal is an early or mid-stage development rather than a mature trend. The nearest resistance at 177.83400 and support at 177.13600 are the key levels to watch; a break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ A dozen bearish indicators fired simultaneously, creating strong confluence.
  • ▼ The retreat of multiple moving averages (SMA 200, EMA, KAMA) confirms price is pulling back from highs.
  • ▼ The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down show a clear loss of buying momentum.
  • ▼ All timeframes are aligned in a bearish direction, even if the higher ones are still forming.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (1h, 4h) are choppy and sideways, suggesting the downtrend could stall or reverse.
  • ▲ The 2h through 1d timeframes show only a 'trend forming' (2/5), meaning the bearish move is not yet fully established.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 177.83400, the sell signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ The move could be a short-term pullback within a larger consolidation, so watch for a bounce off support.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-21 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 177.83400 2026-10-21
R2 177.92000 2026-10-20
R3 177.96800 2026-10-16
S1 177.13600 2026-10-20
S2 176.92300 2026-10-19
S3 176.66000 2026-10-19

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