EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-21 21:00 UTC 59 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.14 %

Entry

1.12362

Target

1.12045 +0.28 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12608 −0.22 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,150 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,150 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), HMA Retreat Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle

MODERATE Scalping

▲ Bullish 21 % (9.63) ▼ Bearish 79 % (37.30)

model score 79.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 14.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 554 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.87
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.59
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute timeframe with high confluence from multiple indicators and a candlestick pattern.
Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bearish, with the daily trend very strong, supporting the sell signal.
Lower timeframes (15M to 8H) are mostly bullish but choppy and weak, suggesting limited upside pressure.
Key levels: resistance at 1.12608 and support at 1.12139; watch these for confirmation or invalidation.

The 30-minute EUR/USD signal is strongly bearish, with a 100% probability and very strong strength. This is supported by a cluster of indicators: the BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, and a ZSCORE Extreme High Exit all align to suggest that the recent upward move has exhausted itself. The Fibonacci Break DownTrend at the 24% level and the Bearish Harami candlestick pattern add confluence, reinforcing the likelihood of a downward reversal.

Across higher timeframes, the signal shows mixed alignment: the 12-hour and 1-day timeframes are bearish, with the 1-day showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 12-hour a solid trend (3/5). However, the 15-minute through 8-hour timeframes are mostly bullish, though with low trend scores (1/5 or 2/5) and choppy/sideways conditions, indicating that the higher timeframe bearishness is not fully supported by the lower timeframes. This suggests that the bearish move may be part of a larger correction within a bullish context, but the strong higher timeframe trend gives it weight. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12608 and support at 1.12139; a break below support would confirm the bearish signal, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, HMA, ZSCORE) all fire in the same direction, providing strong confluence.
▼ Fibonacci break down at 24% and Bearish Harami pattern add technical alignment.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (12H and 1D) are bearish, with the daily trend very strong.
▼ The signal's probability is 100% with very strong strength, indicating high confidence in the model.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15M to 8H) are mostly bullish, which could counter the bearish signal if they strengthen.
▲ The nearest resistance at 1.12608 is close; if price reclaims this level, the bearish signal weakens.
▲ The bullish trends on the 4H and 8H, though choppy, might indicate that the bearish move is only a retracement.
▲ If the 12H and 1D trends lose strength, the bearish case could fade.