SOL/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-21 16:00 UTC 53 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.19 %

Entry

108.31

Target

113.40 +4.70 %

closes in profit

Stop

100.43 −7.28 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.02 % per trade 1,487 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,487 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.77 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.98 % 20 % at stop avg −3.83 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross, ADX Trend Strong, Northern Doji

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

53.9 % – first candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 62 % (5.73) ▼ Bearish 38 % (3.57)

model score 61.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 20:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	1.93
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.82
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.19
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.13
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.05
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on 4H are weak and mixed with bearish candlesticks, so treat as a tentative long.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, which may limit the upside potential.
Key levels: resistance at 113.40, support at 100.43; watch for a break or hold.
Golden Cross on SMA 20/50 is supportive, but the EMA 200 retreat and bearish patterns warrant caution.

The 4H signal for SOL/USDT is a BUY with weak strength (61% probability), firing a mix of trend and candlestick signals. The ADX Trend Strong indicates a developing trend, while the BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down suggest short-term momentum shifts. The SMA 20/50 Golden Cross on the 4H is a bullish crossover, but the EMA 200 Retreat Down and the candlestick patterns (Northern Doji, Bearish Harami) introduce caution, reflecting a possible consolidation or pullback within a broader uptrend.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 1H shows a solid bullish trend (3/5), while the 4H itself is only trend forming (2/5). Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, with the 8H and 12H solid (3/5), suggesting a larger downtrend that may cap upside. The nearest resistance at 113.40 is a key hurdle; a break could shift momentum, but failure to hold above support at 100.43 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should watch for confirmation of the Golden Cross and a halt in the EMA retreat.

Catalysts

▲ Golden Cross on SMA 20/50 adds bullish confluence on the 4H.
▲ 1H timeframe shows a solid bullish trend (3/5), providing near-term support.
▲ ADX Trend Strong indicates a developing trend, which could support continuation.
▲ BOP and STOCHF cross downs may be short-term corrections within a broader bullish move.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, conflicting with the 4H bullish signal.
▼ Bearish Harami and Northern Doji suggest possible reversal or consolidation.
▼ EMA 200 retreat down implies longer-term trend is softening.
▼ If price falls below support at 100.43, the bullish signal is invalidated.