AUD/CAD – 1H – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.01 %
Entry
0.98299
Target
0.98878 +0.59 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.97907 −0.40 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: CCI OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, HMA Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 14.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 746 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/CAD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 14%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 2.35
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 2.05
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.82
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.74
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.55
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.48
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.23
▲ Bullish Harami Cross candlestick 1.14
▲ Inverted Hammer candlestick 0.88

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong 1H bullish signal cluster is firing, but the higher-timeframe trend is bearish across all frames.
  • This is likely a counter-trend bounce—watch for rejection near the 0.98878 resistance.
  • Support at 0.98114 is the invalidation level; a break below would negate the bullish setup.
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCH) all confirm the bounce, but trend scores remain weak above 1H.
The 1H AUD/CAD signal fires a dense cluster of momentum and volatility indicators at 13:00 UTC, all aligned to a BUY bias: BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, HMA Retreat Up, KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat, plus a Bullish Harami Cross and an Inverted Hammer. This confluence suggests a sharp, oversold rebound attempt within a broader bearish context. However, the higher-timeframe trend is uniformly bearish across all frames, with the 1H itself showing a solid downtrend (3/5) despite the bullish signal. The signal therefore likely represents a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal, with the nearest resistance at 0.98878 acting as a key barrier and support at 0.98114 as the invalidation zone.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicator confluence (BOP, CCI, STOCH, BBANDS, HMA, KELTNER) all firing in the same direction.
  • ▲ Candlestick patterns (Bullish Harami Cross, Inverted Hammer) reinforce the reversal attempt.
  • ▲ The signal probability is 100% with very strong strength, suggesting high internal consistency.
  • ▲ Oversold conditions (CCI OS Exit, KELTNER Lower) often precede sharp bounces even in downtrends.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 1H trend itself is bearish (3/5), so the bullish signal is counter to the prevailing momentum.
  • ▼ All higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are bearish, with choppy/sideways readings above 4H—no trend support.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.98878 is close; a failure to break it would likely stall the bounce.
  • ▼ If price slips below support at 0.98114, the entire bullish setup is invalidated.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 14%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.98878 2026-10-21
R2 0.99664 2026-10-14
R3 0.99693 2026-10-12
S1 0.98114 2026-10-20
S2 0.97907 2026-10-15

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