AUD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 07:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.00 %

Entry

0.98290

Target

0.97907 +0.39 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.98878 −0.60 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross, KAMA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.50
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.20
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.20
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.58

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal with high probability and very strong strength on the 1H timeframe.
Multiple indicators (STOCH, EMAs, MAs) align to confirm downside momentum.
Nearest resistance at 0.98878 is the key upside barrier; nearest support at 0.98114 is the downside target.
Higher timeframes (4H and above) show choppy/sideways trends, so the bearish move may be limited in scope.

The 1H AUD/CAD signal is strongly bearish, with a 94% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad alignment of momentum and trend indicators. The STOCH KD Cross Down and Death Cross on the 20/50 EMAs confirm a shift to downside momentum, while the retreat of multiple moving averages (BBANDS, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) and the HT trendline all point to a consistent bearish push. The confluence across these indicators suggests that sellers are in control on the 1H timeframe, with the nearest resistance at 0.98878 acting as a key barrier to any upside recovery.

Across higher timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though the trend strength weakens as you move to 4H and above, where choppy/sideways conditions indicate a lack of strong directional conviction. The 15m and 30m timeframes show solid bearish trends, supporting the immediate downside, while the 1H and 2H are still forming. This alignment suggests that the current bearish momentum is likely to continue in the short term, but the weaker higher-timeframe trends introduce a cautionary note. The nearest support at 0.98114 is the critical level to watch; if sellers can push through this, the bearish case strengthens, but a failure to break it could lead to consolidation.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple moving average retreats and a Death Cross on the 20/50 EMAs.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across 15m, 30m, 1H, and 2H timeframes.
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicates momentum shift to the downside.
▼ HT trendline retreat adds a structural bearish element.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) show choppy/sideways trends, which may cap the bearish move.
▲ If the price fails to break below the nearest support at 0.98114, the bearish thesis weakens.
▲ A move back above the nearest resistance at 0.98878 would invalidate the current signal.
▲ The 1H trend is still forming (2/5 strength), suggesting the bearish momentum may not be fully established.