AUD/CAD – 2H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED

2026-10-22 18:20 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.33 %

Entry

0.98249

Target

0.97907 +0.35 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.98878 −0.64 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 13 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (35.57)

model score 2.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 14 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.20
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.19
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	1.74
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.54
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.51
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.24
▼	Falling Window	candlestick	0.64

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A heavy cluster of bearish indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, multiple MA retreats) aligns on the 2H timeframe with 97% probability.
The bearish direction is consistent across all timeframes, but only the 30m and 1h trends are solid; others are choppy or forming.
Key levels to watch: support at 0.98114 and resistance at 0.98878; a break below support would strengthen the bearish case.
The signal is strong but the underlying trend is not yet mature—expect possible consolidation before the move plays out.

The AUD/CAD 2H signal fires a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) plus eight additional signals. This confluence suggests a broad-based rejection of higher prices across momentum, volatility, and trend-following systems. The 97% probability and very strong strength rating reflect the unusually high number of aligned signals, pointing to a coordinated bearish push rather than a single indicator artifact.

Across timeframes, the bearish direction is consistent, though the trend quality varies: the 30m and 1h timeframes show solid trends (3/5), while the 15m, 4h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are choppy or sideways (1/5). The 2H and 8H timeframes are trend-forming (2/5), indicating that the signal is part of an emerging move rather than a mature, well-established trend. The nearest resistance at 0.98878 and support at 0.98114 define the immediate battle zone; a break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ High confluence of independent indicator groups (momentum, volatility, trend-following) all pointing down.
▼ Consistent bearish direction across all timeframes, with the 30m and 1h showing solid trend quality.
▼ The retreat of multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) suggests broad-based selling pressure.
▼ WILLR OS Entry indicates oversold conditions, which can sometimes precede further downside if momentum persists.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (4h, 12h, 1d) are choppy or sideways, suggesting a lack of a strong macro trend to support the move.
▲ The nearest resistance at 0.98878 is close; if price reclaims this level, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The 15m and 4h timeframes show weak trend strength (1/5), indicating possible consolidation or range-bound behavior.
▲ Oversold conditions from WILLR could trigger a bounce if buying pressure emerges, especially if support at 0.98114 holds.