AUD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.29 %
Entry
0.98399
Target
0.98803 +0.41 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.98114 −0.29 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,376 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,376 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 17.5 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 446 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 14 × 30m 3%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.27
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.69
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.66
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.65
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.61
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.59
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.55
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.53
▲ VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.43
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.95

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • 30M bullish signal is strong but counters higher timeframe bearish trends.
  • Watch resistance at 0.98803; a break could signal a deeper reversal.
  • Support at 0.98262 is the invalidation level for this bullish move.
  • Treat as a counter-trend bounce; manage risk accordingly.
The 30-minute BUY signal on AUD/CAD is firing against a backdrop of predominantly bearish higher timeframes, with the 1-hour and 2-hour charts showing solid downtrends. The cluster of momentum and volatility indicators—BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and WILLR OB Entry—suggests a short-term bullish impulse, while the multiple moving average crosses (BBANDS MIDDLE, KELTNER MID) and retreat patterns (DEMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) point to a potential mean-reversion bounce within a larger downtrend. The high probability (94%) and very strong strength indicate that the immediate momentum is compelling, but the alignment across timeframes is mixed: the 15-minute chart is bullish but choppy, while higher timeframes remain bearish.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.98803 and support at 0.98262. A move above resistance could signal a more sustained reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish thesis and likely resume the broader bearish trend. Given the conflicting higher timeframe trend, this signal is best interpreted as a counter-trend bounce within a downtrend, offering potential for short-term scalping but requiring careful risk management.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) align for bullish impulse.
  • ▲ Moving average crosses and retreat patterns suggest a mean-reversion setup.
  • ▲ High probability (94%) and very strong signal strength boost confidence.
  • ▲ 15-minute bullish bias adds near-term confluence.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H) are solidly bearish, limiting upside potential.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 0.98803 may cap gains and reverse momentum.
  • ▼ If support at 0.98262 breaks, the bullish signal is invalidated.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways action on 15M and 4H could indicate low conviction.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 3%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.98803 2026-10-22
R2 0.98878 2026-10-21
S1 0.98262 2026-10-21
S2 0.98114 2026-10-20

Tags

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