AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 10× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.24 %
Entry
0.98347
Target
0.98114 +0.24 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.98803 −0.46 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,376 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,376 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 30m 97%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.55
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.37
▲ AROON Cross Up indicator 2.22
▲ AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicator 2.22
▲ AROON Strong Uptrend indicator 1.98
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.98
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.96
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.94
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.84
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.79
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.60
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.33
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.28
▲ FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 1.28

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • All timeframes show bearish direction, but strength is weak and choppy on higher timeframes.
  • Multiple indicators align for a short-term sell, but the weak trend suggests limited downside.
  • Watch the support at 0.98262—a break confirms bearish momentum; resistance at 0.98803 is the invalidation zone.
  • Expect a scalp, not a trend change; higher timeframe trends are not solid.
The AUD/CAD 30-minute signal stack is uniformly bearish, with the AROON oscillator crossing upward while the underlying trend remains weak, and the BOP zero cross down confirming selling pressure. The CCI and Williams %R exits from overbought territory, alongside the stochastic KD cross down, all point to a short-term downside move. However, the overall trend strength is weak, and the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) are choppy or only forming, so the bearish signal is best viewed as a scalp within a broader range.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.98803 and support at 0.98262. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. Given the mixed trend scores across timeframes, traders should expect limited follow-through and be cautious about overextending positions.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (AROON, BOP, CCI, STOCHF, WILLR) on the 30M timeframe.
  • ▼ Uniform bearish direction across all timeframes, even if strength varies.
  • ▼ Exit from overbought conditions (CCI and Williams %R) supports a downward correction.
  • ▼ The 30M and 1H timeframes show solid trend strength (3/5), providing a near-term foundation.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Weak overall trend strength (64% probability, weak) and choppy higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) limit follow-through.
  • ▲ Resistance at 0.98803 is close; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ The AROON Cross Up and AROONOSC Zero Cross Up are counter-trend signals that could indicate a bounce.
  • ▲ If support at 0.98262 holds, the sell may stall and reverse.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 12:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.98803 2026-10-22
R2 0.98878 2026-10-21
S1 0.98262 2026-10-21
S2 0.98114 2026-10-20

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