AUD/CAD – 8H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-22 05:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.23 %

Entry

0.98347

Target

0.97907 +0.45 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.99757 −1.43 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 256 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 256 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.65 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.40 % 20 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down +18 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +13% Swing

▲ Bullish 9 % (3.99) ▼ Bearish 91 % (39.13)

model score 5.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.16
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.10
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.07
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.05
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.04
▼	HT TRENDLINE Break Down	indicator	2.03
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.01
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.95
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.87
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.87
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.87
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.81
▲	KST Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▼	SMA Break Down	indicator	1.71
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.50
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.48
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.43
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.28
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on 8H with multiple zero-cross and breakdown signals.
Consistent bearish bias across all timeframes, but higher timeframes are choppy.
Key resistance at 0.99757 is the invalidation level; support at 0.97907 is the target.
Watch for trend formation on 4H/12H/1D to confirm follow-through.

The 8H AUD/CAD signal is strongly bearish, with an 87% probability and very strong strength, driven by a dense cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators. The simultaneous CCI, MOM, and ROC zero-cross downs, along with ROCR cross down, confirm a decisive downside shift in momentum. The EMA break down, EMA 200 retreat, HT trendline break, and KAMA retreat all point to a breakdown of the prevailing uptrend structure, with price now trading below key dynamic levels. This confluence suggests a high-confidence short setup on the 8H timeframe.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though the trend quality varies. The 30m and 1h timeframes show solid trends (3/5), providing near-term confirmation, while the 2h and 8H show trend formation (2/5). However, the 15m, 4h, 12h, and 1d are choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating that the higher timeframes are not yet fully aligned. The nearest resistance at 0.99757 is the immediate invalidation zone; a sustained break above that would weaken the bearish case. The nearest support at 0.97907 is the primary downside target, but the choppy higher timeframes suggest the move may be gradual or face consolidation. Traders should watch for momentum to persist on the 30m/1h and for price to respect the resistance level.

Catalysts

▼ High signal density: 20+ indicators aligning bearish.
▼ Momentum and trend indicators (CCI, MOM, ROC, EMA, HT trendline, KAMA) all confirm downside.
▼ 30m and 1h solid trends support near-term continuation.
▼ Probability 87% and very strong strength indicate high confidence.

Risk Factors

▲ Choppy higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) may limit follow-through.
▲ A break above 0.99757 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum could fade if 30m/1h trends lose solidity.
▲ Sideways action on 15m and 4H may cause consolidation before further downside.