AUD/JPY – 12H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-22 09:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.27 %

Entry

110.052

Target

108.634 +1.29 %

closes in profit

Stop

112.613 −2.33 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,280 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 5,280 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, EMA Break Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −11.6 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +10% Position

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (45.81)

model score 15.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	2.70
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.45
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.40
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.40
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.39
▼	HT TRENDLINE Break Down	indicator	2.38
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	2.32
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.07
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.96
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.86
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.72
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	1.72
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.97

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A massive cluster of bearish break signals on the 12H chart points to a strong sell setup.
Trend alignment is solid on 30m-2h, but higher timeframes are still forming, so watch for confirmation.
Key levels: resistance at 112.61300 must hold; support at 108.63400 is the immediate downside target.
Probability is 100% with very strong strength, but always manage risk with stops.

The AUD/JPY 12H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CCI Zero Cross Down, DEMA Break Down, EMA Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Break Down, KAMA Break Down, MA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, and MIDPOINT Break Down, with more than seven additional signals. This confluence across indicator and candlestick groups indicates a strong, coordinated downside move, with probability rated at 100% and strength very strong. The breakdown of multiple moving averages and the trendline suggests that the recent price structure has been compromised, and the market is likely entering a corrective or reversal phase.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though the lower timeframes (15m, 8h, 12h) show choppy or sideways action, while the 30m, 1h, and 2h are solid trends. The 4h and 1d are still forming, suggesting that the move is still in its early stages on higher timeframes, but the alignment on the mid-term frames supports the signal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 112.61300, which should hold as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 108.63400, which could act as a target or a pivot. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving average breaks (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) confirm a broad downside shift.
▼ HT TRENDLINE Break Down adds a structural bearish signal, reinforcing the move.
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicates momentum has turned negative.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across mid-term timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h) supports the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4h, 1d) are only 'forming' bearish, so the trend may not be fully mature.
▲ The 15m, 8h, and 12h timeframes show choppy/sideways action, which could lead to consolidation.
▲ If price reclaims the 112.61300 resistance, the signal may be invalidated.
▲ Watch for a false break or a bounce off support at 108.63400 if momentum fades.