AUD/JPY – 1D – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-21 21:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.27 %

Entry

110.052

Target

109.231 +0.75 %

closes in profit

Stop

114.956 −4.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 8

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,280 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 5,280 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 50 Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 26 % (4.80) ▼ Bearish 74 % (13.71)

model score 74.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.35
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.34
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.79
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.26
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.99

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish momentum indicators has fired on the 1D timeframe, signaling a strong shift toward selling pressure.
All timeframes are bearish, but choppy conditions on 15m, 8h, and 12h mean the trend is not yet smooth — expect possible consolidation.
Watch the 114.95600 resistance: a close above it would invalidate the bearish signal. The 109.23100 support is the next major downside target.
The signal is very strong (87% probability), but the 1D trend is only 'trend forming', so confirmation on higher timeframes is still developing.

The AUD/JPY 1D signal fires a dense cluster of bearish momentum indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, and EMA 50 Retreat Down, alongside additional candlestick confirmations. This confluence suggests a decisive shift from overbought conditions and a breakdown of the intermediate trend. The signal's very strong strength and 87% probability are supported by bearish alignment across all monitored timeframes, from 15m to 1D, though the trend is choppy on the 15m, 8h, and 12h timeframes, indicating that momentum is not uniform.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 114.95600 and support at 109.23100. A sustained move below the resistance would confirm the bearish bias, while a break of the support would open the next downside leg. However, the choppiness on higher timeframes (8h, 12h) and the fact that the 1D trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5) suggest that the bearish move may be in its early stages and could face consolidation. Traders should watch for a close back above the resistance, which would invalidate the bearish signal, and monitor for any deceleration in momentum indicators.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCH, WILLR) all crossing down simultaneously.
▼ EMA 50 retreat adds trend-following confirmation to the bearish momentum cluster.
▼ Bearish alignment across all timeframes from 15m to 1D, with solid trend scores on 30m, 1h, and 2h.
▼ Candlestick patterns included in the signal group add price-action confirmation.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1D trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the bearish move may not yet be fully established; a false breakdown is possible.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on 8h and 12h timeframes indicate a lack of clear higher-timeframe momentum, which could stall the move.
▲ A close back above the 114.95600 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a squeeze higher.
▲ The nearest support at 109.23100 is far (over 5,700 pips), so the move may run out of steam before reaching it, leading to a pullback or consolidation.