AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 07:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.35 %

Entry

110.270

Target

111.227 +0.87 %

closes in profit

Stop

109.628 −0.58 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OS Exit, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 17.5 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 446 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.24
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.86
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.86
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.50
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.26
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.24
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.97

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum is firing on the 1H timeframe after an oversold condition, but the higher timeframes are still bearish.
Key resistance at 111.22700 is the immediate target; a break above it would validate the bullish bounce.
Support at 109.62800 is the invalidation level — a move below it would negate the bullish signal.
The signal is strong (77% probability) but should be treated as a counter-trend opportunity given the bearish macro trend.

The AUD/JPY 1H signal fires a cluster of bullish momentum indicators — BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI OS Exit, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit — alongside a HMA Retreat Up and a candlestick group. This suggests that the pair is bouncing off oversold conditions and that buying pressure is emerging on the 1H timeframe. However, the broader trend across timeframes remains predominantly bearish, with 15m, 30m, 2h, 4h, and 1d all showing bearish trends. The 1H trend is only 'forming' (2/5), indicating that the bullish reversal is still in its early stages. The nearest resistance at 111.22700 is a key hurdle; a break above it would confirm the bullish momentum, while the nearest support at 109.62800 marks the invalidation zone if the bounce fails.

Traders should view this signal as a potential short-term counter-trend bounce rather than a confirmed reversal. The confluence of multiple oscillator exits and crossovers strengthens the case for a bullish move on the 1H chart, but the bearish alignment across most other timeframes argues for caution. The EMA Cross 20/50 Death Cross and ER Level Cross Down indicate that the medium-term momentum is still bearish, which could cap any upside. Watch how price reacts at the resistance level; a failure to break through would likely see the pair resume its broader downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillator exits (RSI, STOCH, WILLR) align to confirm oversold bounce.
▲ HMA Retreat Up and candlestick group add confluence to the bullish reversal.
▲ The 1H trend is 'forming' (2/5), suggesting early momentum that could build.
▲ The signal probability is high (77%) with strong strength.

Risk Factors

▼ The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, which could cap upside or reverse the bounce.
▼ The EMA Cross 20/50 Death Cross and ER Level Cross Down indicate bearish medium-term momentum.
▼ A failure to break the 111.22700 resistance would likely lead to a pullback toward support.
▼ Watch for a drop below 109.62800, which would invalidate the bullish setup.