AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 06:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.22 %

Entry

110.222

Target

109.628 +0.54 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.227 −0.91 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.65
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.56
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.51
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.50
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.40
▼	SMA 200 Break Down	indicator	2.40
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.38
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.35
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.25
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	1.96
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.64
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	EMA 200 Break Down	indicator	1.35
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.27

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on 1H: multiple moving average retreats and trend strength indicators align.
Oversold RSI suggests potential for a bounce, but within a downtrend it often signals continuation after a pause.
Key levels: support at 109.62800 (break confirms bearish), resistance at 111.22700 (reclaim invalidates).
Cross-timeframe alignment is mostly bearish, but 12H is choppy/bullish - watch for higher timeframe conflict.

The AUD/JPY 1H signal is strongly bearish, with a 92% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of trend and momentum indicators. The ADX Trend Strong confirms a developing downtrend, while RSI OS Entry indicates oversold conditions that often precede a continuation or pullback, and the cluster of moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) plus the EMA 200 Break Down and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down all point to sustained selling pressure. This alignment across multiple indicator groups on the 1H timeframe suggests a robust bearish setup.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent from 15m through 4H, with the 15m and 30m showing solid to very strong trends (4/5 and 3/5), while 1H-4H are forming (2/5). The 8H is choppy/sideways and the 12H is slightly bullish, which introduces some countertrend risk. Key levels to watch: the nearest resistance at 111.22700 and support at 109.62800. A break below support would confirm bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. Traders should monitor for momentum shifts and higher timeframe conflicts.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across 15m to 4H timeframes (all bearish, with 15m/30m strong).
▼ Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) and EMA 200 Break Down reinforce selling pressure.
▼ ADX Trend Strong confirms trend strength, supporting the bearish signal.
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down adds confluence from a higher timeframe pattern.

Risk Factors

▲ Oversold RSI may lead to a short-term bounce, which could slow the downtrend.
▲ 12H timeframe is bullish (choppy/sideways), indicating potential countertrend pressure.
▲ Nearest support at 109.62800 is far; if price stalls before reaching it, the signal may weaken.
▲ Watch for failure to break below recent lows - a higher low would invalidate the bearish case.