AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.20 %
Entry
110.129
Target
108.634 +1.36 %
closes in profit
Stop
110.792 −0.60 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 782 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 782 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 14 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down, SMA 50 Break Down +15 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 2h 90%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 3.26
▼ MIDPOINT Break Down indicator 3.22
▼ SMA 50 Break Down indicator 3.10
▼ MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 3.06
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 2.95
▼ EMA 200 Break Down indicator 2.44
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.40
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.29
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.26
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.20
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.10
▼ AO Zero Cross Down indicator 2.06
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.05
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▼ MACD Zero Cross Down indicator 1.80
▼ TSI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.31
▼ QQE Midline Cross Down indicator 1.23
▼ High Wave Bearish candlestick 0.72

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A heavy cluster of bearish signals on the 2H chart indicates strong selling pressure.
  • Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are all bearish, aligning with the 2H signal.
  • The nearest support at 108.63400 is the key level to watch for a continuation of the downtrend.
  • Resistance at 110.79200 is the invalidation zone; a move above it would weaken the bearish case.
The AUD/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, MACD Zero Cross Down, DEMA/EMA/KAMA/MA Retreat Downs, and an EMA 200 Break Down. This confluence of indicator and trendline signals points to a strong, immediate bearish shift in momentum. The alignment across timeframes is notable: the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes all show solid to very strong bearish trends, while the 2H and 4H are just beginning to form a downtrend, suggesting the move is still in its early stages on the higher timeframes. The 8H and 12H are choppy/sideways, which means the longer-term trend is not yet fully committed, but the short-term pressure is clear.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 110.79200 and the nearest support at 108.63400. A break below the support would confirm further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The trend scores show a gradual strengthening from the higher to lower timeframes, which is typical of a developing move. However, the choppiness on the 8H and 12H suggests that the bearish trend may face headwinds if it tries to extend beyond the immediate short-term. Traders should monitor the 2H and 4H trends for confirmation, and watch for any signs of momentum fading, such as a bullish reversal pattern or a bounce off support.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of over 15 signals across indicator, trendline, and candlestick groups.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across multiple timeframes, with the strongest bearish scores on the lower timeframes.
  • ▼ Break of the EMA 200 and trendline support suggests a structural shift in the short-term trend.
  • ▼ The 2H and 4H trends are forming, indicating the move may have room to develop.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy/sideways, which could cap the move's duration or depth.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 110.79200 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the 2H and 4H trends fail to strengthen beyond 'forming' status.
  • ▲ The 1D trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so the longer-term context is not fully bearish.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 90%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 07:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 110.79200 2026-10-19
R2 111.13300 2026-10-14
S1 108.63400 2026-10-15

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