AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down, SMA 50 Break Down +15 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Break Down | indicator | 3.26 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Break Down | indicator | 3.22 |
| ▼ | SMA 50 Break Down | indicator | 3.10 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Break Down | indicator | 3.06 |
| ▼ | HMA Break Down | indicator | 2.95 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Break Down | indicator | 2.44 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.40 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Downbreak + retest | trendline | 2.26 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.20 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.10 |
| ▼ | AO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.89 |
| ▼ | MACD Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▼ | TSI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.31 |
| ▼ | QQE Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▼ | High Wave Bearish | candlestick | 0.72 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- A heavy cluster of bearish signals on the 2H chart indicates strong selling pressure.
- Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are all bearish, aligning with the 2H signal.
- The nearest support at 108.63400 is the key level to watch for a continuation of the downtrend.
- Resistance at 110.79200 is the invalidation zone; a move above it would weaken the bearish case.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 110.79200 and the nearest support at 108.63400. A break below the support would confirm further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The trend scores show a gradual strengthening from the higher to lower timeframes, which is typical of a developing move. However, the choppiness on the 8H and 12H suggests that the bearish trend may face headwinds if it tries to extend beyond the immediate short-term. Traders should monitor the 2H and 4H trends for confirmation, and watch for any signs of momentum fading, such as a bullish reversal pattern or a bounce off support.
- ▼ Confluence of over 15 signals across indicator, trendline, and candlestick groups.
- ▼ Trend alignment across multiple timeframes, with the strongest bearish scores on the lower timeframes.
- ▼ Break of the EMA 200 and trendline support suggests a structural shift in the short-term trend.
- ▼ The 2H and 4H trends are forming, indicating the move may have room to develop.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy/sideways, which could cap the move's duration or depth.
- ▲ If price reclaims the 110.79200 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the 2H and 4H trends fail to strengthen beyond 'forming' status.
- ▲ The 1D trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so the longer-term context is not fully bearish.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 110.79200 | 2026-10-19 |
| R2 | 111.13300 | 2026-10-14 |
| S1 | 108.63400 | 2026-10-15 |