AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 06:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.04 %

Entry

110.222

Target

111.308 +0.99 %

closes in profit

Stop

109.628 −0.54 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.16
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.05
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.82

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on the 30M timeframe, but higher timeframes are mostly bearish.
Key resistance at 111.30800; a break above could signal a larger reversal, but failure may see a pullback.
Support at 109.62800 is the critical invalidation level for this bullish signal.
The Fibonacci Break UpTrend adds confluence, but the 24% level indicates early stage.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute signal is aggressively bullish, with a 100% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of momentum, candlestick, and Fibonacci signals. The BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up indicate a shift in buying pressure and short-term momentum, while the Bullish Harami Cross and Long Legged Doji suggest a reversal in price action. The Fibonacci Break UpTrend at 24% adds a mathematical layer, pointing to a potential retracement or breakout continuation. However, the broader trend picture is predominantly bearish across most timeframes, with only the 12-hour showing a choppy bullish tilt. This creates a conflict: the 30-minute signal is firing against the prevailing trend, which could either be a counter-trend bounce or an early reversal. The nearest resistance at 111.30800 is a key level to watch for confirmation of a sustained move, while support at 109.62800 serves as the invalidation zone if the bullish momentum fails.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple signals (BOP, STOCHF, candlestick patterns) align on the 30M timeframe, increasing confidence.
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend suggests a structural shift within the 30M price action.
▲ The 12H timeframe shows a choppy bullish tilt, offering a slight higher-timeframe support.
▲ The signal probability is 100% with very strong strength, indicating high conviction from the model.

Risk Factors

▼ The 15M and 1H timeframes are bearish, which could pull the 30M price down if the trend persists.
▼ The 30M signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure.
▼ If price fails to break above 111.30800, the bullish momentum could fade and reverse.
▼ Watch for a break below 109.62800, which would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the bearish trend.