AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-22 16:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now ±0.00 %

Entry

110.261

Target

109.677 +0.53 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.308 −0.95 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,246 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,246 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 20 % (6.34) ▼ Bearish 80 % (25.92)

model score 80.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.55
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	2.54
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.44
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.30
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.76
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.33
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.26
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.90
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.88
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.79

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30-minute chart with multiple momentum and trend indicators aligning.
Bearish trend is consistent across 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h timeframes, but the 15m is still bullish (weak).
Key resistance at 111.30800 and support at 109.67700 define the immediate range.
The HT TRENDMODE shift to Cycle suggests a structural change, not just a short-term move.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute signal is a strong bearish confluence, firing a cluster of momentum, trend, and structure indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down confirm downward momentum, while the EMA 200, MA, and SMA 200 Retreat Downs align price action with a broader pullback from higher-timeframe averages. The HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down and HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle signal a shift in the higher-timeframe trend structure, suggesting the selloff is not just a short-term blip but a cyclical transition. The ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up adds a bearish momentum divergence, reinforcing the downside pressure.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from the 30-minute up to the 4-hour, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 30m, 1h, and 2h, and a forming bearish trend on the 4h. The 15-minute timeframe is still bullish, but only a weak trend forming (2/5), which may indicate a short-term pullback or consolidation within the larger bearish move. The 8h and 12h are choppy/sideways, suggesting the medium-term picture lacks strong directional conviction, but the 1-day is bearish and forming, adding a longer-term backdrop. Key levels to watch: the nearest resistance at 111.30800, which could act as a ceiling if a retracement occurs, and the nearest support at 109.67700, which is the downside target and invalidation zone if broken.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple retreat signals (EMA 200, MA, SMA 200) confirm price is pulling back from key moving averages.
▼ BOP and STOCHF cross downs provide momentum confirmation for the bearish move.
▼ Trend alignment across 30m, 1h, and 2h with solid scores (3/5) supports the direction.
▼ HT TRENDLINE retreat and TRENDMODE to Cycle indicate higher-timeframe structure is turning bearish.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute timeframe is still bullish, which could lead to short-term counter-trend bounces.
▲ 8h and 12h trends are choppy/sideways, lacking strong directional support from higher timeframes.
▲ A break above the 111.30800 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ If momentum fades (e.g., STOCHF or BOP cross back up), the selloff could stall.