AUD/USD – 1D – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-21 21:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.24 %

Entry

0.70199

Target

0.69218 +1.40 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.72374 −3.10 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 8

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,280 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 5,280 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +16% Position

▲ Bullish 10 % (1.99) ▼ Bearish 90 % (17.11)

model score 4.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.4 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.7 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 581 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.99
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.76
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.76
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.67
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.46
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.20
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.20
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.08

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The daily trend is strongly bearish with multiple indicators aligned, but lower timeframes are mixed, so expect choppy price action.
Watch the 0.72374 resistance: a daily close above it would invalidate the sell signal.
The 0.69218 support is the main downside target; a break below it would confirm the downtrend.
The RSX Midline Cross Up is a warning that short-term upside pressure could cause pullbacks.

The 1D AUD/USD signal is firmly bearish, with a very strong 89% probability and a dense cluster of indicators confirming downside momentum. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down both point to a shift in buying vs selling pressure, while the EMA 50, KAMA, and MA Retreat Downs show that key moving averages are now rolling over and acting as overhead resistance. The HT TRENDMODE switch to Cycle and the CTI OB Entry further support the idea that the daily trend has turned and is entering a corrective phase. The RSX Midline Cross Up, however, is a counter-signal that suggests short-term upside pressure may be building, so the move lower could be choppy rather than a straight line.

Across timeframes, the daily chart shows a solid bearish trend (3/5), while lower timeframes are mostly bullish or forming trends, but with weak trend scores (1-2/5). This mixed picture indicates that the bearish daily signal is the dominant force, but intraday rallies are likely. The nearest resistance at 0.72374 is the key level to watch for invalidation; a daily close above it would contradict the bearish thesis. The nearest support at 0.69218 is the primary downside target, and a break below it would confirm the continuation of the downtrend. Traders should monitor how price reacts at these levels and whether the lower-timeframe bullish pressures fade as the daily trend asserts itself.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving average retreats (EMA 50, KAMA, MA) confirm overhead resistance.
▼ BOP and STOCHF cross-downs signal a shift in momentum to the downside.
▼ HT TRENDMODE switching to Cycle aligns with the daily bearish trend.
▼ The daily trend is rated 'solid' (3/5), providing a strong base for the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h) are still bullish, which could counter the daily bearish move.
▲ The RSX Midline Cross Up suggests potential short-term upside pressure, leading to false breakouts.
▲ A daily close above 0.72374 would invalidate the signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Trend scores on lower timeframes are weak (1/5), indicating lack of momentum to follow through.