AUD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 18:20 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.03 %

Entry

0.70149

Target

0.69707 +0.63 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70365 −0.31 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Retreat Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, BIAS Zero Cross Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 585 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.60
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.28
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.27
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.50

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 1H with multiple momentum and volatility indicators aligning.
Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are bearish, but higher timeframes (2H-12H) remain bullish, creating a mixed trend picture.
Key levels: resistance at 0.70365, support at 0.69707. A break below support would confirm bearish momentum.
Signal probability is 70% with moderate strength, indicating a decent but not overwhelming conviction.

The 1H AUD/USD signal is firmly bearish, with a cluster of momentum and volatility indicators firing in unison: BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, and MA Retreat Down. This confluence suggests that the recent upward push has exhausted its momentum and that the market is now reversing to the downside. The signal is further supported by a bearish 15m and 30m trend, which aligns with the 1H bearish direction, indicating that the short-term momentum is already turning. However, the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, albeit with weak trend scores (2/5), which introduces a conflicting backdrop and suggests that the bearish move may be a correction within a larger bullish structure. The 1D timeframe shows a solid bearish trend (3/5), which adds weight to the medium-term bearish bias.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70365 and support at 0.69707. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The signal probability stands at 70% with moderate strength, reflecting the alignment of short-term indicators but tempered by the higher-timeframe bullish trend. Traders should monitor whether the bearish momentum can push through the support level, and watch for any signs of a bounce off resistance that could signal a false breakdown.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCH, WILLR) all firing in the same bearish direction, suggesting a strong confluence.
▼ Alignment of short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) with the bearish signal, indicating momentum is already turning.
▼ The 1D timeframe shows a solid bearish trend (3/5), providing a longer-term backdrop that supports the bearish move.
▼ The signal includes a candlestick pattern, adding price-action confirmation to the indicator-based signals.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, which could mean the bearish move is only a correction within a larger uptrend.
▲ The nearest resistance at 0.70365 is close; if price reclaims it, the bearish signal could be invalidated.
▲ Trend scores on the 1H and 30M are only 2/5, indicating the trend is still forming and may lack strong conviction.
▲ The choppy/sideways nature of the 15m and 8H trends suggests potential range-bound behavior, which could lead to false breakouts.