AUD/USD – 8H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.24 %
Entry
0.70199
Target
0.71398 +1.71 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.68941 −1.79 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 10
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 253 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 253 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.65 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.40 % 20 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 100 % (40.60) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 4 candles
AUD/USD  ·  8H
Loading…
Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 4 × 8h 100%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.21
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.98
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.92
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.90
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.83
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.79
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.77
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.77
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.72
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 1.44
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.41
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.41
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.22
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.86
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.78

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong bullish confluence on the 8H timeframe with multiple moving-average retreats and indicator cross-ups.
  • The signal is supported by bullish trend formation on 4H and 12H, but the 1D bearish trend is a counterweight.
  • Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.71398 and support at 0.68941; a break above resistance would confirm, while losing support would invalidate.
  • The choppy/sideways nature of the 8H trend (1/5) suggests the move may lack clear direction, so confirmation is needed.
The AUD/USD 8H signal fires a cluster of bullish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and WILLR OB Entry, alongside multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) and additional candlestick confirmations. This confluence suggests a strong upward momentum shift on the 8H timeframe, with an 83% probability and strong strength. The retreats of several trend-following averages imply a coordinated bounce off a support zone, while the BOP and stochastic cross-ups confirm a shift in buying pressure. The WILLR OB Entry indicates the market is emerging from oversold territory, adding to the bullish case.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bullish: the 8H itself is choppy/sideways (1/5), yet the 4H and 12H show bullish trend forming (2/5), and the 2H is bullish. However, the 1D is bearish with a solid trend (3/5), and the 1H is bearish, which could counter the signal. The nearest resistance at 0.71398 is the immediate upside target, while support at 0.68941 provides a safety net. The mixed higher-timeframe alignment suggests caution; the bullish case is strongest if the 8H can break above resistance, but a failure to hold above support would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) aligning on the same side of the price action.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up provide momentum confirmation.
  • ▲ WILLR OB Entry indicates the market is coming out of oversold conditions, supporting a bullish reversal.
  • ▲ Bullish trend forming on 4H and 12H timeframes adds medium-term support.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 1D timeframe shows a solid bearish trend (3/5), which could override the 8H bullish signal.
  • ▼ The 8H trend is choppy/sideways (1/5), suggesting the current momentum may lack persistence.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.71398 is a nearby barrier; failure to break it could lead to a pullback toward support.
  • ▼ If price falls below the 0.68941 support, the bullish signal would be invalidated.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 8H
Direction BUY
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.71398 2026-09-21
R2 0.72374 2026-09-09
S1 0.68941 2026-10-15

Tags

Similar Signals