AUD/USD – 8H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-22 05:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.40 %

Entry

0.70084

Target

0.68941 +1.63 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.71398 −1.87 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 256 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 256 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.65 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.40 % 20 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, T3 Break Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 17 % (2.23) ▼ Bearish 83 % (11.17)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.23
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.17
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	1.92
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.87
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.66
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.47
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.39
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	1.33
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.32

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish indicators fires on the 8H timeframe, signaling a strong downward move.
Lower timeframes (15m-2h) align bearish, but higher timeframes (4H-12H) remain bullish, creating a conflict.
Key levels: resistance at 0.70132, support at 0.68941. A break below support confirms bearish, reclaiming resistance invalidates.
The 1D timeframe shows a solid bearish trend, adding weight to the sell signal.

The AUD/USD 8H signal fires a dense cluster of bearish indicators, all pointing to a downward shift in momentum. The ADX Trend Weak suggests the prevailing trend is losing strength, while the STOCH KD Cross Down and WILLR OB Exit confirm a bearish turn in momentum and a move out of overbought conditions. The EMA 200 Retreat Down, T3 Break Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, and ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down collectively indicate a breakdown of the prior structure and a shift toward lower prices.

Across timeframes, the trend is mostly bearish on the lower timeframes (15m through 2h) with a solid bearish trend on the 1D. However, the 4H, 8H, and 12H are still bullish, which introduces a conflict. The signal's very strong probability (91%) rests on the near-term bearish alignment and the dense cluster of confirming indicators. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70132 and support at 0.68941. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Strong alignment of bearish signals across multiple indicators (ADX, STOCH, WILLR, EMA, T3, HT SINE, ER, ERI).
▼ Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are consistently bearish, supporting immediate downside.
▼ Solid bearish trend on the 1D timeframe provides higher-timeframe confirmation.
▼ Very strong probability (91%) and signal strength.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, which could counter the bearish move.
▲ The 8H timeframe itself is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear trend direction.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 0.70132, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum may fade if the bullish higher-timeframe trends reassert.