EUR/CAD – 30M – SELL
SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, Trendline Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +11 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout | indicator | 2.57 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Downbreak + retest | trendline | 2.30 |
| ▲ | STOCH OS Exit | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.08 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.89 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 0.94 |
| ▼ | SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down | indicator3 | 0.00 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Strong bearish confluence on the 30m chart with multiple indicator groups aligning.
- Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes, with solid scores on 15m, 2h, 4h, and 8h.
- Watch the 1.57910 resistance as the key invalidation level; a reclaim would weaken the bearish case.
- No immediate support level is defined, so be alert for a potential bounce as price seeks a floor.
Given the very strong probability (86%) and the sheer number of signals (over 15), the bearish case is robust in the short term. The trend is forming on the 30m and 1h, but the solid scores on higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) suggest that the selloff may have legs beyond the immediate scalp. However, the absence of a defined nearest support level means traders should watch for the next support zone to form, as price could find a floor quickly. The alignment across timeframes is a key factor supporting the signal, but the lack of a clear invalidation level other than the resistance at 1.57910 means that a reclaim of that level would be a warning sign. Overall, the signal suggests a continuation of the bearish trend, but prudent risk management should account for the possibility of a bounce off nearby support.
- ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with solid trend scores on higher timeframes supporting the move.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple signal groups (trendline, indicator, candlestick, indicator3) firing simultaneously.
- ▼ Strong trend score (very_strong) and high probability (86%) increase confidence in the bearish direction.
- ▼ Retreats from multiple moving averages (BBANDS, DEMA, EMA) indicate broad-based selling pressure.
- ▲ The nearest support is undefined, so price could find a floor sooner than expected, leading to a bounce.
- ▲ A reclaim of the 1.57910 resistance would invalidate the breakdown and signal a potential reversal.
- ▲ The 30m and 1h trends are only 'forming' (2/5), so momentum may be less established on the signal timeframe.
- ▲ Watch for fading momentum in oscillators (STOCH, WILLR) if they exit oversold conditions abruptly.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.57910 | 2026-10-22 |
| R2 | 1.58064 | 2026-10-21 |
| R3 | 1.58190 | 2026-10-20 |