EUR/CAD – 4H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-10-22 18:20 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.11 %

Entry

1.57093

Target

1.56401 +0.44 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.59614 −1.60 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 16 % (3.41) ▼ Bearish 84 % (17.47)

model score 14.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.67
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.54
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.44
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.24
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.23
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.09

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is strong across all timeframes, with the 4H showing a very strong trend (4/5).
Multiple indicators (STOCH, WILLR, RSX) confirm downside pressure, with oversold conditions suggesting potential for continued selling or a brief pause.
Price is retreating from key dynamic levels (DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE), reinforcing the bearish case.
The nearest resistance at 1.59614 is the level to watch; a break above would invalidate the bearish thesis.

The 4H EUR/CAD signal is firmly bearish, with a strong confluence of momentum and volatility indicators all pointing lower. The stochastic oscillator (STOCH) shows a bearish crossover (KD Cross Down) after a brief upward blip (KD Cross Up), while the Williams %R (WILLR) and RSX both register oversold entries, suggesting that downside momentum is not only intact but may be accelerating. The retreat of price from the dynamic EMA (DEMA), MAMA, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE bands confirms that the pair is being rejected from overhead resistance and is now trading below these key dynamic levels, reinforcing the bearish bias.

Aligning the 4H signal with higher and lower timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent across all observed periods, from 15 minutes up to 12 hours, with the 4H itself showing a very strong trend (4/5). The 1D timeframe is only just forming a bearish trend (2/5), which is a minor caveat but does not contradict the immediate downside. The nearest resistance at 1.59614 serves as a critical invalidation zone; a sustained move back above this level would suggest the bearish signal has failed. With no nearby support identified, the path of least resistance is lower, but traders should remain vigilant for any signs of a bullish reversal, especially given the oversold conditions that could trigger a snapback.

Catalysts

▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes from 15m to 12h, with the 4H being very strong.
▼ Confluence of multiple indicators (STOCH, WILLR, RSX) all pointing to downside momentum.
▼ Price retreating from dynamic EMAs and midpoints, indicating rejection from overhead levels.
▼ Strong signal probability (78%) and strength rating.

Risk Factors

▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR, RSX) could lead to a short-term bounce or consolidation, potentially pausing the downtrend.
▲ The 1D timeframe is only trend-forming (2/5), so the higher-timeframe trend is not yet fully established.
▲ A move back above the nearest resistance at 1.59614 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Momentum could fade if price fails to make new lows after the oversold readings.